Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Ahli: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al Ahli travel to face Sama Al Sarhan on Tuesday 14 April in the League – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.
Current form
Sama Al Sarhan, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Al Salt, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Al Ahli, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Al Hussein, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Al Ahli, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Sama Al Sarhan.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sama Al Sarhan 1.0 xG, Al Ahli 1.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sama Al Sarhan 23%, draw 25%, Al Ahli 53%.
Lower-risk option: Al Ahli or draw (77%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al Ahli or draw (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sama Al Sarhan 0–1 Al Ahli. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sama Al Sarhan23%fair 4.44 · @4.20
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.25
Al Ahli53%fair 1.89 · @1.80
2.61Expected goals
0.99Sama Al Sarhan xG
1.62Al Ahli xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–112%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Sama Al Sarhan 1.0 – 1.6 Al Ahli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Ahli to win✓
53%
1.89
1.80
Double chance
Al Ahli or draw✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.83
Draw no bet
Al Ahli (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Sama Al Sarhan +1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Al Ahli to score first✗
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Ahli / FT Al Ahli✗
31%
3.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.48
–
Recent results
Sama Al Sarhan – last 6
LLLDLD
9 Apr
@ Al Salt
0–1
L
2 Apr
vs Al Jazeera
1–3
L
18 Mar
vs Al Wihdat
0–6
L
6 Mar
vs Al Faisaly
0–0
D
25 Feb
@ Al Faisaly
0–4
L
20 Feb
vs Shabab Al Ordon
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al Ahli – last 6
LDWDDL
8 Apr
vs Al Hussein
0–1
L
3 Apr
@ Al Ramtha
1–1
D
16 Mar
@ Shabab Al Ordon
1–0
W
12 Mar
vs Al Salt
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Al Jazeera
2–2
D
24 Feb
vs Shabab Al Ordon
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sama Al Sarhan and Al Ahli.
What is the prediction for Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Ahli?
Our pick is Al Ahli or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Ahli?
On our numbers Sama Al Sarhan have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Al Ahli 53%.
How many goals will there be in Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Ahli?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Ahli?
Our predicted score is Sama Al Sarhan 0–1 Al Ahli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Ahli?
Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Ahli (League) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Al Wihdat3
Shabab Al Ordon0