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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Real Estelí v Managua: numbers & prediction

Primera Division · Nicaragua · Estadio Independencia
2–1
FT

Managua

WWWWD
Real Estelí 52%Draw 24%Managua 24% Expected goals 1.64 – 1.26
55%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.80 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Estelí to win ✓52% · @1.55
Double chanceReal Estelí or draw ✓76% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.71

Real Estelí vs Managua: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

02:00 WAT, Thursday 9 April: Real Estelí v Managua in the Primera Division, played at Estadio Independencia. In the table, Real Estelí are 3rd, among the top four, on 31 points after 16 matches; Managua are 1st (leading the league) with 41.

Current form

Real Estelí, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Rancho Santana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Managua, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Real Madriz, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Real Estelí, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.2 for Managua.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Estelí 1.6 xG, Managua 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Real Estelí 52%, draw 24%, Managua 24%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.80, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Estelí 1–1 Managua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Estelí52%fair 1.91 · @1.55
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.50
Managua24%fair 4.23 · @5.50
2.90Expected goals
1.64Real Estelí xG
1.26Managua xG
55%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–07%
1–27%
0–17%

From our goals model: Real Estelí 1.6 – 1.3 Managua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Estelí to win ✓52%1.911.55
Double chanceReal Estelí or draw ✓76%1.311.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.801.85
Draw no betReal Estelí (draw no bet) ✓69%1.45–
Asian handicapManagua +1 (Asian handicap)69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.81–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
First team to scoreReal Estelí to score first ✗54%1.87–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Estelí / FT Real Estelí ✗28%3.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.71–

Recent results

Real Estelí – last 6

WWWWDW
9 Mar@ Rancho Santana4–0W
6 Marvs Jalapa2–1W
2 Mar@ UNAN Managua3–0W
27 Febvs Real Madriz3–0W
23 Feb@ Matagalpa1–1D
19 Febvs H&H Export3–2W
2.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Managua – last 6

WWWWDL
9 Mar@ Real Madriz2–1W
6 Marvs Rancho Santana1–0W
1 Mar@ H&H Export2–0W
25 Febvs Jalapa1–0W
22 Feb@ Diriangén1–1D
20 Feb@ UNAN Managua1–3L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Real Estelí and Managua.

Real Estelí vs Managua head-to-head page →

Primera Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Managua161321+3441
2Diriangén161132+1636
3Real Estelí16943+1531
4UNAN Managua16745-225
5Walter Ferretti16637+621
6H&H Export16628-1220
7San Marcos16448-716
8Jalapa16439-615
9Rancho Santana162410-1710
10Matagalpa163112-2710

More Primera Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Estelí vs Managua?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Real Estelí vs Managua?

On our numbers Real Estelí have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Managua 24%.

How many goals will there be in Real Estelí vs Managua?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Estelí vs Managua?

Our predicted score is Real Estelí 1–1 Managua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Real Estelí vs Managua?

Real Estelí vs Managua (Primera Division) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Independencia.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.