Value bet: Sampaio Correa to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSampaio Correa to win ✗38% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.39
Moto Club vs Sampaio Correa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sampaio Correa travel to face Moto Club on Wednesday 6 May in the Serie D – the ball rolls at 23:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Moto Club 0.4 xG, Sampaio Correa 0.4 xG – a total near 0.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 94% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Moto Club 37%, draw 26%, Sampaio Correa 38%.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Sampaio Correa to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (56%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Moto Club 0–0 Sampaio Correa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Moto Club37%fair 2.73 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.70
Sampaio Correa38%fair 2.66 · @3.10
0.88Expected goals
0.43Moto Club xG
0.45Sampaio Correa xG
44%Both score
6%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–041%
0–119%
1–018%
1–18%
0–24%
2–04%
From our goals model: Moto Club 0.4 – 0.4 Sampaio Correa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sampaio Correa to win✗
38%
2.66
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.75
Draw no bet
Sampaio Correa (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Moto Club +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
99%
1.01
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
100%
1.00
–
First team to score
No goal✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
46%
2.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
19%
5.39
–
Recent results
Moto Club
No recent results on record.
Sampaio Correa
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Moto Club and Sampaio Correa.
What is the prediction for Moto Club vs Sampaio Correa?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Moto Club vs Sampaio Correa?
On our numbers Moto Club have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sampaio Correa 38%.
How many goals will there be in Moto Club vs Sampaio Correa?
We expect about 0.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 6% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moto Club vs Sampaio Correa?
Our predicted score is Moto Club 0–0 Sampaio Correa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 0.9 goals in total.
When is Moto Club vs Sampaio Correa?
Moto Club vs Sampaio Correa (Serie D) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
