Democrata GV 38%Draw 28%Vitória ES 34%Expected goals 1.17 – 1.06
80%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDemocrata GV to win ✓38% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.81
Democrata GV vs Vitória ES: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Tuesday 5 May: Democrata GV v Vitória ES in the Serie D, played at Estadio Jose Mammoud Abbas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Democrata GV 1.2 xG, Vitória ES 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Democrata GV 38%, draw 28%, Vitória ES 34%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Democrata GV 1–1 Vitória ES. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Democrata GV38%fair 2.65 · @2.55
Draw28%fair 3.56 · @2.88
Vitória ES34%fair 2.93 · @2.62
2.23Expected goals
1.17Democrata GV xG
1.06Vitória ES xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Democrata GV 1.2 – 1.1 Vitória ES expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Democrata GV to win✓
38%
2.65
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Democrata GV (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Vitória ES +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.06
First team to score
Democrata GV to score first✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Democrata GV / FT Democrata GV✓
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.81
–
Recent results
Democrata GV – last 2
WL
7 Apr
vs Real Noroeste
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Betim
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Vitória ES – last 2
WD
22 Apr
@ Porto Vitória
3–1
W
23 Feb
@ Forte FC
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Democrata GV and Vitória ES.
What is the prediction for Democrata GV vs Vitória ES?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Democrata GV vs Vitória ES?
On our numbers Democrata GV have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Vitória ES 34%.
How many goals will there be in Democrata GV vs Vitória ES?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Democrata GV vs Vitória ES?
Our predicted score is Democrata GV 1–1 Vitória ES, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Democrata GV vs Vitória ES?
Democrata GV vs Vitória ES (Serie D) kicks off on Tuesday 5 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jose Mammoud Abbas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil · Estadio Jose Mammoud Abbas
GAS1
Manauara2
Trem2
Imperatriz1