Piauí vs Ferroviario: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ferroviario travel to face Piauí on Monday 11 May in the Serie D – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT.
Current form
Piauí, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with AO Itabaiana, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Ferroviario, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to ABC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Ferroviario, collecting 1.4 points per game to 0.7 for Piauí.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Piauí 1.3 xG, Ferroviario 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Piauí 33%, draw 29%, Ferroviario 39%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Piauí 1–1 Ferroviario. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Piauí33%fair 3.06 · @3.00
Draw29%fair 3.50 · @2.80
Ferroviario39%fair 2.58 · @2.25
2.59Expected goals
1.26Piauí xG
1.33Ferroviario xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Piauí 1.3 – 1.3 Ferroviario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ferroviario to win✗
39%
2.58
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
71%
1.40
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.85
Draw no bet
Ferroviario (draw no bet)
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Piauí +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Ferroviario to score first
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ferroviario / FT Ferroviario✗
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.96
–
Recent results
Piauí – last 6
DLLLWL
30 Apr
vs AO Itabaiana
1–1
D
16 Apr
@ Vitoria
1–3
L
8 Apr
@ Fluminense PI
0–2
L
24 Mar
@ ASA
0–1
L
18 Mar
vs Atlético Piauiense
1–0
W
19 Feb
@ Betim
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Ferroviario – last 5
LDWLW
30 Apr
@ ABC
1–4
L
15 Apr
vs Retrô
1–1
D
7 Apr
vs Jacuipense
1–0
W
25 Mar
vs Fortaleza EC
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Floresta
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Piauí and Ferroviario.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Piauí vs Ferroviario?
On our numbers Piauí have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Ferroviario 39%.
How many goals will there be in Piauí vs Ferroviario?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Piauí vs Ferroviario?
Our predicted score is Piauí 1–1 Ferroviario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Piauí vs Ferroviario?
Piauí vs Ferroviario (Serie D) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
