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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Decisão v Serra Branca: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil · Venue Estadio Municipal Odilon Ferreira Dos Santos

Serra Branca

Decisão 25%Draw 27%Serra Branca 48% Expected goals 1.09 – 1.43

75%

Betarazi pick

Serra Branca or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating

1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultSerra Branca to win ✓48% · @1.75

Double chanceSerra Branca or draw ✓75% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.15

Decisão vs Serra Branca: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 24 May the Serie D brings Decisão against Serra Branca at Venue Estadio Municipal Odilon Ferreira Dos Santos. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Decisão 1.1 xG, Serra Branca 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Decisão 25%, draw 27%, Serra Branca 48%.
Lower-risk option: Serra Branca or draw (75%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Serra Branca or draw (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Decisão 1–1 Serra Branca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Decisão25%fair 4.08 · @4.00

Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.25

Serra Branca48%fair 2.07 · @1.75

2.52Expected goals

1.09Decisão xG

1.43Serra Branca xG

56%Both score

46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–112%

1–29%

1–09%

0–28%

0–08%

From our goals model: Decisão 1.1 – 1.4 Serra Branca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Serra Branca to win ✓	48%	2.07	1.75
Double chance	Serra Branca or draw ✓	75%	1.32	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	56%	1.79	1.85
Draw no bet	Serra Branca (draw no bet) ✓	66%	1.51	–
Asian handicap	Decisão +1 (Asian handicap)	72%	1.39	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	72%	1.40	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	54%	1.85	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	75%	1.33	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	89%	1.12	–
First team to score	Serra Branca to score first ✓	52%	1.92	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	44%	2.29	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Serra Branca / FT Serra Branca ✓	26%	3.78	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.15	–

Recent results

Decisão – last 2

17 May	@ Retrô	1–2	L
5 Apr	vs Lagarto	1–1	D

1.0Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

100%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Serra Branca – last 2

22 Feb	@ Botafogo PB	1–1	D
18 Feb	@ Porto BA	1–2	L

1.0Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

100%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Decisão and Serra Branca.

Decisão vs Serra Branca head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

Guarany de Bagé0

Cascavel4 129%3.20X30%2.50241%2.38 0.9–1.1xG X2Cascavel or draw 71%@1.30 ✓

Azuriz2

Blumenau4 131%2.80X25%2.75244%2.50 0.8–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 69%@1.44 ✗

Oratório3

Tuna Luso3 132%3.20X22%3.25246%1.95 1.6–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.62 ✓

ABC1

America-RN1 140%2.40X29%2.62231%3.00 1.3–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.15 ✓

Araguaína1

Porto Velho1 144%2.30X27%2.90229%2.80 1.6–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@1.85 ✓

Brasiliense1

Inhumas0 168%1.40X21%3.70211%7.50 1.7–0.5xG 1Brasiliense to win 68%@1.40 ✓

CRAC0

Uberlandia0 132%2.45X30%2.70238%2.80 0.8–1.0xG NGNot both teams to score 51%@1.73 ✓

Jacuipense2

Juazeirense2 138%2.45X28%2.75233%2.80 1.3–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@1.95 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Decisão vs Serra Branca?

Our pick is Serra Branca or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Decisão vs Serra Branca?

On our numbers Decisão have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Serra Branca 48%.

How many goals will there be in Decisão vs Serra Branca?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Decisão vs Serra Branca?

Our predicted score is Decisão 1–1 Serra Branca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Decisão vs Serra Branca?

Decisão vs Serra Branca (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Venue Estadio Municipal Odilon Ferreira Dos Santos.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.