Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDemocrata GV to win ✓61% · @1.53
Double chanceDemocrata GV or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Democrata GV vs Porto BA: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Tuesday 26 May: Democrata GV v Porto BA in the Serie D, played at Estadio Jose Mammoud Abbas.
Current form
Democrata GV, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Vitória ES, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Porto BA, last 4: LLWD Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to CRB, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Democrata GV, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Porto BA.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Democrata GV 1.8 xG, Porto BA 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Democrata GV 61%, draw 23%, Porto BA 16%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Democrata GV 2–0 Porto BA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Democrata GV61%fair 1.64 · @1.53
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.60
Porto BA16%fair 6.13 · @5.25
2.65Expected goals
1.81Democrata GV xG
0.84Porto BA xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Democrata GV 1.8 – 0.8 Porto BA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Democrata GV to win✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Double chance
Democrata GV or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Democrata GV (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Democrata GV -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.07
First team to score
Democrata GV to score first
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Democrata GV ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Democrata GV / FT Democrata GV✓
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
Democrata GV – last 3
WWL
5 May
vs Vitória ES
2–0
W
7 Apr
vs Real Noroeste
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Betim
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Porto BA – last 4
LLWD
4 Mar
@ CRB
0–6
L
22 Feb
vs Juazeirense
1–3
L
18 Feb
vs Serra Branca
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Atlético Alagoinhas
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Democrata GV and Porto BA.
What is the prediction for Democrata GV vs Porto BA?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Democrata GV vs Porto BA?
On our numbers Democrata GV have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Porto BA 16%.
How many goals will there be in Democrata GV vs Porto BA?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Democrata GV vs Porto BA?
Our predicted score is Democrata GV 2–0 Porto BA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Democrata GV vs Porto BA?
Democrata GV vs Porto BA (Serie D) kicks off on Tuesday 26 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jose Mammoud Abbas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil · Estadio Jose Mammoud Abbas
