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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Brasiliense v Luverdense: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

Brasiliense

WLD
1–1
FT

Luverdense

WLLW
Brasiliense 43%Draw 29%Luverdense 28% Expected goals 1.18 – 0.94
72%
Betarazi pick

Brasiliense or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultBrasiliense to win ✗43% · @2.05
Double chanceBrasiliense or draw ✓72% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.07

Brasiliense vs Luverdense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Luverdense travel to face Brasiliense on Sunday 31 May in the Serie D – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.

Current form

Brasiliense, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Inhumas, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Luverdense, last 4: WLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Aparecidense, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Brasiliense 1.2 xG, Luverdense 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Brasiliense 43%, draw 29%, Luverdense 28%.
  • Lower-risk option: Brasiliense or draw (72%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Brasiliense or draw (72%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brasiliense 1–0 Luverdense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Brasiliense43%fair 2.34 · @2.05
Draw29%fair 3.45 · @2.75
Luverdense28%fair 3.52 · @3.60
2.12Expected goals
1.18Brasiliense xG
0.94Luverdense xG
49%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Brasiliense 1.2 – 0.9 Luverdense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBrasiliense to win ✗43%2.342.05
Double chanceBrasiliense or draw ✓72%1.401.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.951.62
Draw no betBrasiliense (draw no bet)60%1.66–
Asian handicapLuverdense +1 (Asian handicap) ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
First team to scoreBrasiliense to score first49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Brasiliense / FT Brasiliense ✗23%4.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.07–

Recent results

Brasiliense – last 3

WLD
24 Mayvs Inhumas1–0W
16 May@ Gama2–3L
5 Aprvs Primavera MG1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Luverdense – last 4

WLLW
24 Mayvs Aparecidense1–0W
17 May@ Primavera MG0–1L
2 May@ Gama0–4L
15 Feb@ Sport Sinop1–0W
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Brasiliense and Luverdense.

Brasiliense vs Luverdense head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Galvez2 Porto Velho6 115%9.00X20%5.50265%1.22 1.2–2.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.25 ✓
FT Sao Raimundo4 GAS0 161%1.53X22%3.40217%5.50 1.8–1.0xG 1Sao Raimundo to win 61%@1.53 ✓
FT IAPE1 Sampaio Correa3 114%6.00X20%3.30266%1.53 0.6–1.7xG 2Sampaio Correa to win 66%@1.53 ✓
FT Juazeirense0 Atlético Alagoinhas0 158%1.60X25%3.10217%5.50 1.6–0.9xG 1Juazeirense to win 58%@1.60 ✗
FT Oratório0 Imperatriz1 136%2.80X26%2.90238%2.30 1.6–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 56%@1.83 ✗
FT Brasil DE Pelotas1 Blumenau2 148%1.91X30%2.62222%4.40 1.3–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.50 ✓
FT Cianorte1 Santa Catarina3 148%2.05X27%2.75226%3.50 1.5–1.0xG 1XCianorte or draw 74%@1.25 ✗
FT CSA1 Jacuipense1 164%1.35X22%3.80214%9.00 1.9–0.8xG 1CSA to win 64%@1.35 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Brasiliense vs Luverdense?

Our pick is Brasiliense or draw with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Brasiliense vs Luverdense?

On our numbers Brasiliense have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Luverdense 28%.

How many goals will there be in Brasiliense vs Luverdense?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Brasiliense vs Luverdense?

Our predicted score is Brasiliense 1–0 Luverdense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Brasiliense vs Luverdense?

Brasiliense vs Luverdense (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.