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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ferroviario v Fluminense PI: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil · Estadio Presidente Vargas
1–0
FT
Ferroviario 53%Draw 27%Fluminense PI 20% Expected goals 1.48 – 0.85
55%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 2.00 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
2.00Odds

Picks by market

ResultFerroviario to win ✓53% · @1.70
Double chanceFerroviario or draw ✓80% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.04

Ferroviario vs Fluminense PI: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 13 June the Serie D brings Ferroviario against Fluminense PI at Estadio Presidente Vargas. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT.

Current form

Ferroviario, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with TirolCEFAT, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Fluminense PI, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Altos, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ferroviario 1.5 xG, Fluminense PI 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ferroviario 53%, draw 27%, Fluminense PI 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Ferroviario or draw (80%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.83, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ferroviario 1–1 Fluminense PI. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ferroviario53%fair 1.88 · @1.70
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.00
Fluminense PI20%fair 5.09 · @4.80
2.33Expected goals
1.48Ferroviario xG
0.85Fluminense PI xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: Ferroviario 1.5 – 0.8 Fluminense PI expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFerroviario to win ✓53%1.881.70
Double chanceFerroviario or draw ✓80%1.241.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.832.00 ▲
Draw no betFerroviario (draw no bet) ✓73%1.37–
Asian handicapFluminense PI +1 (Asian handicap)64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.48–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.70–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreFerroviario to score first ✓57%1.74–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ferroviario / FT Ferroviario ✗31%3.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.04–

Recent results

Ferroviario – last 6

DWDLDW
1 Jun@ TirolCEFAT0–0D
17 Mayvs Uniclinic Atletico Clube2–0W
11 May@ Piauí1–1D
30 Apr@ ABC1–4L
15 Aprvs Retrô1–1D
7 Aprvs Jacuipense1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Fluminense PI – last 6

DDDWLD
31 Mayvs Altos1–1D
30 Apr@ Botafogo PB1–1D
15 Aprvs CRB0–0D
8 Aprvs Piauí2–0W
29 Mar@ Confiança0–2L
25 Marvs Juazeirense1–1D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ferroviario and Fluminense PI.

Ferroviario vs Fluminense PI head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ferroviario vs Fluminense PI?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.

Who will win Ferroviario vs Fluminense PI?

On our numbers Ferroviario have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Fluminense PI 20%.

How many goals will there be in Ferroviario vs Fluminense PI?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ferroviario vs Fluminense PI?

Our predicted score is Ferroviario 1–1 Fluminense PI, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Ferroviario vs Fluminense PI?

Ferroviario vs Fluminense PI (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Presidente Vargas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.