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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sousa v America-RN: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

Sousa

LDWWW
0–2
FT

America-RN

WDWLL
Sousa 27%Draw 29%America-RN 44% Expected goals 0.96 – 1.30
73%
Betarazi pick

America-RN or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.29Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 53% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAmerica-RN to win ✓44% · @2.30
Double chanceAmerica-RN or draw ✓73% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.79

Sousa vs America-RN: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sousa welcome America-RN for a Serie D fixture on Sunday 14 June (19:00 WAT).

Current form

Sousa, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to CRB, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

America-RN, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Central SC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Sousa, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for America-RN.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sousa 1.0 xG, America-RN 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sousa 27%, draw 29%, America-RN 44%.
  • Lower-risk option: America-RN or draw (73%) at 1.29.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.30.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was America-RN or draw (73%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sousa 0–1 America-RN. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sousa27%fair 3.71 · @3.25
Draw29%fair 3.46 · @2.50
America-RN44%fair 2.27 · @2.30
2.26Expected goals
0.96Sousa xG
1.30America-RN xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–113%
0–010%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%

From our goals model: Sousa 1.0 – 1.3 America-RN expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAmerica-RN to win ✓44%2.272.30
Double chanceAmerica-RN or draw ✓73%1.371.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.882.30 ▲
Draw no betAmerica-RN (draw no bet) ✓62%1.61–
Asian handicapSousa +1 (Asian handicap) ✗73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreAmerica-RN to score first ✓52%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT America-RN / FT America-RN ✓26%3.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.79–

Recent results

Sousa – last 6

LDWWWD
30 Apr@ CRB0–3L
15 Aprvs Juazeirense2–2D
8 Aprvs Botafogo PB2–0W
26 Marvs Confiança4–1W
22 Febvs Pombal EC2–0W
18 Feb@ Campinense1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

America-RN – last 6

WDWLLD
29 Mayvs Central SC1–0W
24 May@ ABC1–1D
17 Mayvs Laguna5–0W
30 Apr@ Retrô1–2L
22 Aprvs ABC1–2L
16 Aprvs Fortaleza EC1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sousa and America-RN.

Sousa vs America-RN head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT ABC1 Maguary PE0 159%1.65X24%3.30217%4.75 1.6–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Central SC2 Laguna1 167%1.20X21%4.80212%15.00 1.7–0.6xG 1Central SC to win 67%@1.20 ✓
FT Atlético Alagoinhas1 CSA7 113%19.00X21%4.40266%1.22 0.8–1.8xG 2CSA to win 66%@1.22 ✓
FT Ipatinga2 Operario Ferroviario1 147%1.67X25%3.10228%4.80 1.3–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@2.15 ✓
FT CRAC1 Ivinhema1 150%1.75X27%2.90222%4.50 1.3–0.8xG NGNot both teams to score 51%@1.57 ✗
FT CSE0 Juazeirense1 136%2.90X25%2.80239%2.30 1.2–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 56%@2.00 ✗
FT GAS3 Manaus FC1 122%7.50X23%4.00255%1.35 1.2–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.30 ✓
FT Jacuipense1 ASA1 128%2.88X30%2.50242%2.62 0.9–1.3xG X2ASA or draw 72%@1.35 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sousa vs America-RN?

Our pick is America-RN or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win Sousa vs America-RN?

On our numbers Sousa have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 29% and America-RN 44%.

How many goals will there be in Sousa vs America-RN?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sousa vs America-RN?

Our predicted score is Sousa 0–1 America-RN, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Sousa vs America-RN?

Sousa vs America-RN (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.