Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 55% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAl Faisaly to win ✗59% · @1.28
Double chanceAl Faisaly or draw ✓81% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.49
Al Ahli vs Al Faisaly: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al Ahli welcome Al Faisaly for a League fixture on Friday 24 April (17:30 WAT).
Current form
Al Ahli, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Sama Al Sarhan, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Al Faisaly, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Al Salt, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Al Faisaly, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Al Ahli.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Ahli 1.0 xG, Al Faisaly 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Ahli 19%, draw 23%, Al Faisaly 59%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Ahli 1–1 Al Faisaly. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Ahli19%fair 5.40 · @10.60
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @4.33
Al Faisaly59%fair 1.70 · @1.28
2.66Expected goals
1.05Al Ahli xG
1.62Al Faisaly xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Al Ahli 1.0 – 1.6 Al Faisaly expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Faisaly to win✗
59%
1.70
1.28
Double chance
Al Faisaly or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Al Faisaly (draw no bet)
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Al Ahli +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Al Faisaly to score first✓
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Faisaly / FT Al Faisaly✗
31%
3.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.49
–
Recent results
Al Ahli – last 6
WLDWDD
14 Apr
@ Sama Al Sarhan
3–2
W
8 Apr
vs Al Hussein
0–1
L
3 Apr
@ Al Ramtha
1–1
D
16 Mar
@ Shabab Al Ordon
1–0
W
12 Mar
vs Al Salt
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Al Jazeera
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Al Faisaly – last 6
WWWLDW
17 Apr
@ Al Salt
1–0
W
8 Apr
vs Al Jazeera
3–0
W
18 Mar
vs Al Buqa'a
2–1
W
12 Mar
vs Shabab Al Ordon
0–1
L
6 Mar
@ Sama Al Sarhan
0–0
D
25 Feb
vs Sama Al Sarhan
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Ahli and Al Faisaly.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Al Ahli vs Al Faisaly?
On our numbers Al Ahli have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Al Faisaly 59%.
How many goals will there be in Al Ahli vs Al Faisaly?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Ahli vs Al Faisaly?
Our predicted score is Al Ahli 1–1 Al Faisaly, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Al Ahli vs Al Faisaly?
Al Ahli vs Al Faisaly (League) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
