Al Ahli vs Al Buqa'a: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Monday 4 May: Al Ahli v Al Buqa'a in the League.
Current form
Al Ahli, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Al Faisaly, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Al Buqa'a, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Al Jazeera, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Ahli 1.6 xG, Al Buqa'a 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Ahli 44%, draw 25%, Al Buqa'a 30%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Ahli 1–1 Al Buqa'a. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Ahli44%fair 2.26 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.20
Al Buqa'a30%fair 3.30 · @2.80
2.82Expected goals
1.61Al Ahli xG
1.20Al Buqa'a xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Al Ahli 1.6 – 1.2 Al Buqa'a expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Ahli to win✓
44%
2.26
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.73
Draw no bet
Al Ahli (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Al Buqa'a +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
1.11
First team to score
Al Ahli to score first
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Ahli / FT Al Ahli✗
28%
3.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.68
–
Recent results
Al Ahli – last 6
DWLDWD
24 Apr
vs Al Faisaly
2–2
D
14 Apr
@ Sama Al Sarhan
3–2
W
8 Apr
vs Al Hussein
0–1
L
3 Apr
@ Al Ramtha
1–1
D
16 Mar
@ Shabab Al Ordon
1–0
W
12 Mar
vs Al Salt
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Al Buqa'a – last 6
WLDLLW
16 Apr
@ Al Jazeera
2–1
W
9 Apr
vs Al Wihdat
1–5
L
3 Apr
vs Shabab Al Ordon
0–0
D
18 Mar
@ Al Faisaly
1–2
L
11 Mar
@ Al Hussein
1–5
L
3 Mar
vs Al Wihdat
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Ahli and Al Buqa'a.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Al Ahli vs Al Buqa'a?
On our numbers Al Ahli have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Al Buqa'a 30%.
How many goals will there be in Al Ahli vs Al Buqa'a?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Ahli vs Al Buqa'a?
Our predicted score is Al Ahli 1–1 Al Buqa'a, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Al Ahli vs Al Buqa'a?
Al Ahli vs Al Buqa'a (League) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
