Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Picks by market
ResultFenix to win ✓42% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.07
Fenix vs Tacuarembo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fenix welcome Tacuarembo to Parque Capurro for a Segunda División fixture on Sunday 5 April (16:30 WAT). In the table, Fenix are 11th, lower half, on 31 points after 25 matches; Tacuarembo are 13th (in the drop zone) with 26.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fenix 1.1 xG, Tacuarembo 0.8 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fenix 42%, draw 29%, Tacuarembo 29%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fenix 1–0 Tacuarembo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fenix42%fair 2.38 · @2.40
Draw29%fair 3.49 · @2.90
Tacuarembo29%fair 3.42 · @2.95
1.92Expected goals
1.13Fenix xG
0.79Tacuarembo xG
50%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Fenix 1.1 – 0.8 Tacuarembo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Fenix
Tacuarembo
Attack vs Segunda División average
-4%
-28%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.29
0.78
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fenix to win✓
42%
2.38
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
1.65
Draw no bet
Fenix (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Tacuarembo +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Fenix to score first
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fenix / FT Fenix✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.07
–
Recent results
Fenix – last 1
D
15 Mar
@ Uruguay Montevideo
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Tacuarembo – last 1
D
17 Mar
vs La Luz
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fenix and Tacuarembo.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Fenix vs Tacuarembo?
On our numbers Fenix have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Tacuarembo 29%.
How many goals will there be in Fenix vs Tacuarembo?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fenix vs Tacuarembo?
Our predicted score is Fenix 1–0 Tacuarembo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Fenix vs Tacuarembo?
Fenix vs Tacuarembo (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Parque Capurro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
