Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Cerrito to win @ 2.55 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCerrito to win ✓43% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.67
Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cerrito welcome Uruguay Montevideo for a Segunda División fixture on Monday 6 April (01:30 WAT). In the table, Cerrito are 8th, lower half, on 34 points after 25 matches; Uruguay Montevideo are 14th (in the drop zone) with 22. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Uruguay Montevideo, last 3: WDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Atenas, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cerrito 1.3 xG, Uruguay Montevideo 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 37%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cerrito 43%, draw 28%, Uruguay Montevideo 30%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Cerrito to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerrito 1–1 Uruguay Montevideo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cerrito43%fair 2.34 · @2.55
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @2.90
Uruguay Montevideo30%fair 3.37 · @2.75
2.22Expected goals
1.33Cerrito xG
0.89Uruguay Montevideo xG
50%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–010%
2–19%
From our goals model: Cerrito 1.3 – 0.9 Uruguay Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
Attack vs Segunda División average
+2%
-21%
Goals conceded vs average
-4%
+14%
Our expected goals here
1.52
0.78
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cerrito to win✓
43%
2.34
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
2.05
Draw no bet
Cerrito (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Uruguay Montevideo +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Cerrito to score first✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cerrito / FT Cerrito✓
27%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.67
–
Recent results
Cerrito
No recent results on record.
Uruguay Montevideo – last 3
WDD
1 Apr
@ Atenas
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs Sportivo Huracan
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Fenix
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cerrito and Uruguay Montevideo.
What is the prediction for Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo?
On our numbers Cerrito have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Uruguay Montevideo 30%.
How many goals will there be in Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo?
Our predicted score is Cerrito 1–1 Uruguay Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo?
Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
