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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Oriente Petrolero v Real Tomayapo: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Bolivia · Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas
Oriente Petrolero 67%Draw 20%Real Tomayapo 13% Expected goals 2.06 – 0.85
67%
Betarazi pick

Oriente Petrolero to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.30Odds
U3.5

Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultOriente Petrolero to win ✓67% · @1.30
Double chanceOriente Petrolero or draw ✓87% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18

Oriente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Real Tomayapo travel to face Oriente Petrolero on Sunday 3 May in the Primera División, with Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, Oriente Petrolero are 4th, among the top four, on 41 points after 25 matches; Real Tomayapo are 13th (lower half) with 23. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Oriente Petrolero, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Always Ready, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Oriente Petrolero 2.1 xG, Real Tomayapo 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Oriente Petrolero 67%, draw 20%, Real Tomayapo 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.48.
  • Price worth noting: Under 3.5 goals @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Oriente Petrolero to win (67%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oriente Petrolero 2–0 Real Tomayapo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Oriente Petrolero67%fair 1.49 · @1.30
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @5.40
Real Tomayapo13%fair 7.73 · @6.60
2.91Expected goals
2.06Oriente Petrolero xG
0.85Real Tomayapo xG
60%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Oriente Petrolero 2.1 – 0.8 Real Tomayapo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOriente Petrolero to win ✓67%1.491.30
Double chanceOriente Petrolero or draw ✓87%1.151.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.48
Draw no betOriente Petrolero (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapOriente Petrolero -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.561.28
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗57%1.751.95 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓74%1.351.42 ▲
First team to scoreOriente Petrolero to score first ✓67%1.49–
Half-time resultOriente Petrolero ahead at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Oriente Petrolero / FT Oriente Petrolero ✓42%2.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.18–

Recent results

Oriente Petrolero – last 3

LWL
22 Apr@ Always Ready0–1L
13 Aprvs Gualberto Villarroel SJ2–1W
5 Apr@ San Antonio Bulo Bulo0–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Real Tomayapo – last 2

DD
24 Aprvs The Strongest0–0D
14 Aprvs Real Potosí1–1D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Oriente Petrolero and Real Tomayapo.

Oriente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bolívar251933+3760
2Always Ready251762+4257
3The Strongest251465+1748
4Oriente Petrolero251258+1241
5Real Potosí2510105+1440
6Aurora258125+436
7Nacional Potosí259610+433
8Guabirá259610-1033
9Blooming257108+631
10Real Oruro259412-1731
11Independiente Petrolero258611-1030
12San Antonio Bulo Bulo258314-2227
13Real Tomayapo256514-2323
14Universitario de Vinto256415-1722
15Gualberto Villarroel SJ254813-1720
16ABB256217-2020

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Oriente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo?

Our pick is Oriente Petrolero to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Oriente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo?

On our numbers Oriente Petrolero have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Real Tomayapo 13%.

How many goals will there be in Oriente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Oriente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo?

Our predicted score is Oriente Petrolero 2–0 Real Tomayapo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Oriente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo?

Oriente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.