Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
2
Value bet: Bolívar to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBolívar to win ✗55% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.36
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Blooming vs Bolívar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 11 May the Primera División brings Blooming against Bolívar at Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Blooming are 9th, lower half, on 31 points after 25 matches; Bolívar are 1st (leading the league) with 60. There are 29 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Blooming, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to RB Bragantino, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Bolívar, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportivo La Guaira, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Feb 2026) it ended Bolívar 5–1 Blooming.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Blooming 1.2 xG, Bolívar 2.1 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 67% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Blooming 24%, draw 21%, Bolívar 55%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.36.
Price worth noting: Bolívar to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Blooming 1–2 Bolívar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Blooming24%fair 4.23 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.80
Bolívar55%fair 1.82 · @1.95
3.26Expected goals
1.20Blooming xG
2.06Bolívar xG
67%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Blooming 1.2 – 2.1 Bolívar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Blooming vs Bolívar?
On our numbers Blooming have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bolívar 55%.
How many goals will there be in Blooming vs Bolívar?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Blooming vs Bolívar?
Our predicted score is Blooming 1–2 Bolívar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Blooming vs Bolívar?
Blooming vs Bolívar (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
