Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.30Odds
Picks by market
ResultBolívar to win ✗64% · @1.22
Double chanceBolívar or draw ✓84% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Bolívar vs Nacional Potosí: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 14 May the Primera División brings Bolívar against Nacional Potosí at Estadio Hernando Siles. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Bolívar are 1st, leading the league, on 60 points after 25 matches; Nacional Potosí are 7th (upper half) with 33. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bolívar, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Blooming, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Nacional Potosí, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Blooming, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bolívar 2.1 xG, Nacional Potosí 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bolívar 64%, draw 20%, Nacional Potosí 16%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bolívar 2–1 Nacional Potosí. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bolívar64%fair 1.57 · @1.22
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @5.75
Nacional Potosí16%fair 6.29 · @9.25
3.27Expected goals
2.10Bolívar xG
1.16Nacional Potosí xG
61%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Bolívar 2.1 – 1.2 Nacional Potosí expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bolívar to win✗
64%
1.57
1.22
Double chance
Bolívar or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.62
Draw no bet
Bolívar (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Nacional Potosí +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
1.93
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.40
First team to score
Bolívar to score first✗
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Bolívar ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bolívar / FT Bolívar✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Bolívar – last 6
DDWLDL
11 May
@ Blooming
0–0
D
6 May
@ Deportivo La Guaira
1–1
D
30 Apr
vs Fluminense
2–0
W
22 Apr
vs Independiente Petrolero
1–2
L
15 Apr
vs Deportivo La Guaira
1–1
D
7 Apr
@ Independ. Rivadavia
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Nacional Potosí – last 3
LLW
23 Apr
@ Blooming
1–2
L
26 Feb
@ Botafogo
0–2
L
19 Feb
vs Botafogo
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bolívar and Nacional Potosí.
What is the prediction for Bolívar vs Nacional Potosí?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Bolívar vs Nacional Potosí?
On our numbers Bolívar have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Nacional Potosí 16%.
How many goals will there be in Bolívar vs Nacional Potosí?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bolívar vs Nacional Potosí?
Our predicted score is Bolívar 2–1 Nacional Potosí, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Bolívar vs Nacional Potosí?
Bolívar vs Nacional Potosí (Primera División) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Hernando Siles.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
