Value bet: Independiente Petrolero to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultABB to win ✓40% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.16
ABB vs Independiente Petrolero: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Thursday 16 July: ABB v Independiente Petrolero in the Primera División. In the table, ABB are 16th, in the drop zone, on 20 points after 25 matches; Independiente Petrolero are 11th (lower half) with 30.
Current form
ABB, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Real Potosí, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.6 conceded per game.
Independiente Petrolero, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Real Tomayapo, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours ABB, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Independiente Petrolero.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ABB 1.7 xG, Independiente Petrolero 1.7 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ABB 40%, draw 22%, Independiente Petrolero 37%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Independiente Petrolero to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: ABB 1–1 Independiente Petrolero. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ABB40%fair 2.47 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.80
Independiente Petrolero37%fair 2.69 · @2.90
3.42Expected goals
1.72ABB xG
1.70Independiente Petrolero xG
69%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: ABB 1.7 – 1.7 Independiente Petrolero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ABB to win✓
40%
2.47
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Draw no bet
ABB (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Independiente Petrolero +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
First team to score
ABB to score first✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ABB / FT ABB✓
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.16
–
Recent results
ABB – last 5
LLWLW
9 Jul
@ Real Potosí
1–3
L
30 May
vs Always Ready
1–3
L
11 May
vs Oriente Petrolero
3–1
W
21 Apr
@ Universitario de Vinto
2–5
L
5 Apr
@ Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
2.6Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Independiente Petrolero – last 6
LLLWLD
13 Jul
@ Real Tomayapo
1–2
L
27 May
@ Racing Club
0–2
L
21 May
vs Botafogo
0–3
L
13 May
vs Blooming
3–1
W
5 May
vs Caracas FC
2–3
L
1 May
@ San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ABB and Independiente Petrolero.
What is the prediction for ABB vs Independiente Petrolero?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win ABB vs Independiente Petrolero?
On our numbers ABB have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Independiente Petrolero 37%.
How many goals will there be in ABB vs Independiente Petrolero?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ABB vs Independiente Petrolero?
Our predicted score is ABB 1–1 Independiente Petrolero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is ABB vs Independiente Petrolero?
ABB vs Independiente Petrolero (Primera División) kicks off on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
