Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Nacional Potosí to win @ 2.95 – our chance 41% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNacional Potosí to win ✗41% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.42
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.14
Guabirá vs Nacional Potosí: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Monday 18 May: Guabirá v Nacional Potosí in the Primera División, played at Estadio Gilberto Parada. In the table, Guabirá are 8th, upper half, on 33 points after 25 matches; Nacional Potosí are 7th (upper half) with 33. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Guabirá, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Oriente Petrolero, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Nacional Potosí, last 4: DLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bolívar, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Nacional Potosí, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.4 for Guabirá.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guabirá 1.5 xG, Nacional Potosí 1.9 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guabirá 37%, draw 22%, Nacional Potosí 41%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.42.
Price worth noting: Nacional Potosí to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guabirá 1–2 Nacional Potosí. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guabirá37%fair 2.70 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.70
Nacional Potosí41%fair 2.43 · @2.95
3.38Expected goals
1.51Guabirá xG
1.87Nacional Potosí xG
64%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Guabirá 1.5 – 1.9 Nacional Potosí expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nacional Potosí to win✗
41%
2.43
2.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.55
1.42
Draw no bet
Nacional Potosí (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Guabirá +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
First team to score
Nacional Potosí to score first✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nacional Potosí / FT Nacional Potosí✗
28%
3.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.14
–
Recent results
Guabirá – last 5
DLLDL
15 May
@ Oriente Petrolero
2–2
D
26 Apr
vs Always Ready
1–2
L
22 Apr
@ Real Potosí
0–3
L
11 Apr
vs Independiente Petrolero
2–2
D
4 Apr
@ Blooming
0–5
L
1.0Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Nacional Potosí – last 4
DLLW
14 May
@ Bolívar
1–1
D
23 Apr
@ Blooming
1–2
L
26 Feb
@ Botafogo
0–2
L
19 Feb
vs Botafogo
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guabirá and Nacional Potosí.
What is the prediction for Guabirá vs Nacional Potosí?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Guabirá vs Nacional Potosí?
On our numbers Guabirá have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nacional Potosí 41%.
How many goals will there be in Guabirá vs Nacional Potosí?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guabirá vs Nacional Potosí?
Our predicted score is Guabirá 1–2 Nacional Potosí, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Guabirá vs Nacional Potosí?
Guabirá vs Nacional Potosí (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gilberto Parada.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
