Bolívar vs Guabirá: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bolívar welcome Guabirá to Estadio Hernando Siles for a Primera División fixture on Saturday 18 July (01:00 WAT). In the table, Bolívar are 1st, leading the league, on 60 points after 25 matches; Guabirá are 8th (upper half) with 33. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bolívar, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with The Strongest, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Guabirá, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over San Antonio Bulo Bulo, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Guabirá, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Bolívar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bolívar 2.7 xG, Guabirá 1.0 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 73% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bolívar 75%, draw 15%, Guabirá 10%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bolívar 2–1 Guabirá. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bolívar75%fair 1.33 · @1.10
Draw15%fair 6.69 · @7.80
Guabirá10%fair 10.14 · @15.00
3.68Expected goals
2.72Bolívar xG
0.96Guabirá xG
59%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–09%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–07%
1–17%
From our goals model: Bolívar 2.7 – 1.0 Guabirá expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bolívar to win✓
75%
1.33
1.10
Double chance
Bolívar or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.67
Draw no bet
Bolívar (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.13
–
Asian handicap
Bolívar -1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.22
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.70 ▲
First team to score
Bolívar to score first✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Bolívar ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bolívar / FT Bolívar✓
51%
1.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.15
–
Recent results
Bolívar – last 6
DLLDDD
12 Jul
@ The Strongest
1–1
D
28 May
vs Independ. Rivadavia
1–3
L
19 May
@ Fluminense
1–2
L
14 May
vs Nacional Potosí
1–1
D
11 May
@ Blooming
0–0
D
6 May
@ Deportivo La Guaira
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Guabirá – last 6
WWDLLD
29 May
@ San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2–1
W
18 May
vs Nacional Potosí
2–1
W
15 May
@ Oriente Petrolero
2–2
D
26 Apr
vs Always Ready
1–2
L
22 Apr
@ Real Potosí
0–3
L
11 Apr
vs Independiente Petrolero
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bolívar and Guabirá.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bolívar vs Guabirá?
On our numbers Bolívar have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Guabirá 10%.
How many goals will there be in Bolívar vs Guabirá?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bolívar vs Guabirá?
Our predicted score is Bolívar 2–1 Guabirá, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Bolívar vs Guabirá?
Bolívar vs Guabirá (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Hernando Siles.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
