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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aurora v Oriente Petrolero: numbers & prediction

Aurora

LWWDW
2–2
FT
Aurora 52%Draw 24%Oriente Petrolero 24% Expected goals 1.63 – 1.23
60%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.77 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.77Odds

Picks by market

ResultAurora to win ✗52% · @1.60
Double chanceAurora or draw ✓76% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.68

Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Oriente Petrolero travel to face Aurora on Sunday 19 July in the Primera División – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT. In the table, Aurora are 6th, upper half, on 36 points after 25 matches; Oriente Petrolero are 4th (among the top four) with 41.

Current form

Aurora, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Nacional Potosí, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Oriente Petrolero, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to The Strongest, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Aurora, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Oriente Petrolero.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aurora 1.6 xG, Oriente Petrolero 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 61%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aurora 52%, draw 24%, Oriente Petrolero 24%.
  • Lower-risk option: Aurora or draw (76%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (60%, odds 1.77 – longer than our fair 1.66, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aurora 1–1 Oriente Petrolero. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aurora52%fair 1.91 · @1.60
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @4.10
Oriente Petrolero24%fair 4.22 · @4.40
2.85Expected goals
1.63Aurora xG
1.23Oriente Petrolero xG
61%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%

From our goals model: Aurora 1.6 – 1.2 Oriente Petrolero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAurora to win ✗52%1.911.60
Double chanceAurora or draw ✓76%1.311.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.40
Draw no betAurora (draw no bet)69%1.45–
Asian handicapOriente Petrolero +1 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.641.38
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗60%1.661.77 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.301.33
First team to scoreAurora to score first54%1.86–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aurora / FT Aurora ✗28%3.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.68–

Recent results

Aurora – last 6

LWWDWD
10 Jul@ Nacional Potosí0–2L
2 Jun@ Universitario de Vinto2–1W
16 May@ Real Tomayapo2–0W
13 Mayvs Real Oruro1–1D
28 Aprvs San Antonio Bulo Bulo3–1W
21 Apr@ Gualberto Villarroel SJ1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Oriente Petrolero – last 6

LLDLWL
16 Jul@ The Strongest1–2L
31 Mayvs Blooming0–1L
15 Mayvs Guabirá2–2D
11 May@ ABB1–3L
3 Mayvs Real Tomayapo3–1W
22 Apr@ Always Ready0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Aurora and Oriente Petrolero.

Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bolívar251933+3760
2Always Ready251762+4257
3The Strongest251465+1748
4Oriente Petrolero251258+1241
5Real Potosí2510105+1440
6Aurora258125+436
7Nacional Potosí259610+433
8Guabirá259610-1033
9Blooming257108+631
10Real Oruro259412-1731
11Independiente Petrolero258611-1030
12San Antonio Bulo Bulo258314-2227
13Real Tomayapo256514-2323
14Universitario de Vinto256415-1722
15Gualberto Villarroel SJ254813-1720
16ABB256217-2020

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.77.

Who will win Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero?

On our numbers Aurora have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Oriente Petrolero 24%.

How many goals will there be in Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero?

Our predicted score is Aurora 1–1 Oriente Petrolero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero?

Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.