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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Real Tomayapo v Independiente Petrolero: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Bolivia · Estadio IV Centenario
Real Tomayapo 38%Draw 24%Independiente Petrolero 39% Expected goals 1.42 – 1.52
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2

Value bet: Independiente Petrolero to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultIndependiente Petrolero to win ✗39% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.55

Real Tomayapo vs Independiente Petrolero: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 13 July the Primera División brings Real Tomayapo against Independiente Petrolero at Estadio IV Centenario. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Real Tomayapo are 13th, lower half, on 23 points after 25 matches; Independiente Petrolero are 11th (lower half) with 30.

Current form

Real Tomayapo, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Gualberto Villarroel SJ, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Independiente Petrolero, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Racing Club, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Tomayapo 1.4 xG, Independiente Petrolero 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 66%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Real Tomayapo 38%, draw 24%, Independiente Petrolero 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.40.
  • Price worth noting: Independiente Petrolero to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Tomayapo 1–1 Independiente Petrolero. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Tomayapo38%fair 2.66 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.80
Independiente Petrolero39%fair 2.59 · @2.90
2.94Expected goals
1.42Real Tomayapo xG
1.52Independiente Petrolero xG
66%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Real Tomayapo 1.4 – 1.5 Independiente Petrolero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIndependiente Petrolero to win ✗39%2.592.90 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.511.40
Draw no betIndependiente Petrolero (draw no bet) ✗51%1.97–
Asian handicapReal Tomayapo +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.661.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.631.65
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.281.25
First team to scoreIndependiente Petrolero to score first49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT Independiente Petrolero / FT Independiente Petrolero ✗24%4.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.55–

Recent results

Real Tomayapo – last 6

LLWLDD
8 Jul@ Gualberto Villarroel SJ2–3L
16 Mayvs Aurora0–2L
10 Mayvs San Antonio Bulo Bulo1–0W
3 May@ Oriente Petrolero1–3L
24 Aprvs The Strongest0–0D
14 Aprvs Real Potosí1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Independiente Petrolero – last 6

LLWLDL
27 May@ Racing Club0–2L
21 Mayvs Botafogo0–3L
13 Mayvs Blooming3–1W
5 Mayvs Caracas FC2–3L
1 May@ San Antonio Bulo Bulo2–2D
28 Apr@ Botafogo0–3L
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Real Tomayapo and Independiente Petrolero.

Real Tomayapo vs Independiente Petrolero head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bolívar251933+3760
2Always Ready251762+4257
3The Strongest251465+1748
4Oriente Petrolero251258+1241
5Real Potosí2510105+1440
6Aurora258125+436
7Nacional Potosí259610+433
8Guabirá259610-1033
9Blooming257108+631
10Real Oruro259412-1731
11Independiente Petrolero258611-1030
12San Antonio Bulo Bulo258314-2227
13Real Tomayapo256514-2323
14Universitario de Vinto256415-1722
15Gualberto Villarroel SJ254813-1720
16ABB256217-2020

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Tomayapo vs Independiente Petrolero?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Real Tomayapo vs Independiente Petrolero?

On our numbers Real Tomayapo have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Independiente Petrolero 39%.

How many goals will there be in Real Tomayapo vs Independiente Petrolero?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Tomayapo vs Independiente Petrolero?

Our predicted score is Real Tomayapo 1–1 Independiente Petrolero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Real Tomayapo vs Independiente Petrolero?

Real Tomayapo vs Independiente Petrolero (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 13 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio IV Centenario.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.