The Strongest 39%Draw 23%Bolívar 38%Expected goals 1.53 – 1.64
65%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
2
Value bet: Bolívar to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultThe Strongest to win ✗39% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.33
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.38
The Strongest vs Bolívar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 12 July the Primera División brings The Strongest against Bolívar at Estadio Hernando Siles. Kick-off: 22:15 WAT. In the table, The Strongest are 3rd, among the top four, on 48 points after 25 matches; Bolívar are 1st (leading the league) with 60. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bolívar, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Independ. Rivadavia, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give The Strongest 1.5 xG, Bolívar 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – The Strongest 39%, draw 23%, Bolívar 38%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.33.
Price worth noting: Bolívar to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: The Strongest 1–2 Bolívar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
The Strongest39%fair 2.57 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.85
Bolívar38%fair 2.62 · @2.88
3.17Expected goals
1.53The Strongest xG
1.64Bolívar xG
64%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: The Strongest 1.5 – 1.6 Bolívar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
The Strongest to win✗
39%
2.57
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.55
1.33
Draw no bet
The Strongest (draw no bet)
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
The Strongest +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.35
First team to score
Bolívar to score first
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bolívar / FT Bolívar✗
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.38
–
Recent results
The Strongest – last 2
WD
14 May
@ Always Ready
1–0
W
24 Apr
@ Real Tomayapo
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Bolívar – last 6
LLDDDW
28 May
vs Independ. Rivadavia
1–3
L
19 May
@ Fluminense
1–2
L
14 May
vs Nacional Potosí
1–1
D
11 May
@ Blooming
0–0
D
6 May
@ Deportivo La Guaira
1–1
D
30 Apr
vs Fluminense
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between The Strongest and Bolívar.
What is the prediction for The Strongest vs Bolívar?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win The Strongest vs Bolívar?
On our numbers The Strongest have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bolívar 38%.
How many goals will there be in The Strongest vs Bolívar?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for The Strongest vs Bolívar?
Our predicted score is The Strongest 1–2 Bolívar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is The Strongest vs Bolívar?
The Strongest vs Bolívar (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 22:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Hernando Siles.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
