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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

ES Metlaoui v ES Tunis: numbers & prediction

Cup · Tunisia · Metlaoui Municipal stadium
1–3
FT
ES Metlaoui 17%Draw 27%ES Tunis 56% Expected goals 1.15 – 2.19
56%
Betarazi pick

ES Tunis to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.78 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultES Tunis to win ✓56% · @1.67
Double chanceES Tunis or draw ✓83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.24

ES Metlaoui vs ES Tunis: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

ES Metlaoui welcome ES Tunis to Metlaoui Municipal stadium for a Cup fixture on Sunday 17 May (15:30 WAT).

Current form

ES Metlaoui, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with JS Kairouanaise, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

ES Tunis, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over US Ben Guerdane, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (25 Feb 2026) it ended ES Metlaoui 1–1 ES Tunis.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give ES Metlaoui 1.2 xG, ES Tunis 2.2 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 49% for three or more goals, 51% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – ES Metlaoui 17%, draw 27%, ES Tunis 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was ES Tunis to win (56%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: ES Metlaoui 1–2 ES Tunis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

ES Metlaoui17%fair 5.84 · @5.25
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.10
ES Tunis56%fair 1.78 · @1.67
3.34Expected goals
1.15ES Metlaoui xG
2.19ES Tunis xG
51%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%

From our goals model: ES Metlaoui 1.2 – 2.2 ES Tunis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultES Tunis to win ✓56%1.781.67
Double chanceES Tunis or draw ✓83%1.211.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.97–
Draw no betES Tunis (draw no bet) ✓77%1.31–
Asian handicapES Tunis -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.971.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗57%1.75–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.32–
First team to scoreES Tunis to score first ✓63%1.58–
Half-time resultES Tunis ahead at half-time ✓45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT ES Tunis / FT ES Tunis ✓39%2.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.24–

Recent results

ES Metlaoui – last 6

DWWWDD
14 Mayvs JS Kairouanaise0–0D
4 May@ US Monastirienne1–0W
29 Aprvs ES Sahel2–0W
13 Aprvs AS Marsa1–0W
5 Apr@ US Ben Guerdane0–0D
22 Marvs AS Gabes2–2D
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

ES Tunis – last 6

WWDDWW
14 May@ US Ben Guerdane1–0W
4 May@ Jeunesse Sportive Omrane1–0W
30 Aprvs CS Sfaxien0–0D
23 Aprvs ES Zarzis2–2D
28 Mar@ WS Al Hamma5–0W
7 Marvs AS Marsa1–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Feb 2026ES Metlaoui v ES Tunis1–1
ES Metlaoui vs ES Tunis head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ES Metlaoui vs ES Tunis?

Our pick is ES Tunis to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win ES Metlaoui vs ES Tunis?

On our numbers ES Metlaoui have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 27% and ES Tunis 56%.

How many goals will there be in ES Metlaoui vs ES Tunis?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for ES Metlaoui vs ES Tunis?

Our predicted score is ES Metlaoui 1–2 ES Tunis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is ES Metlaoui vs ES Tunis?

ES Metlaoui vs ES Tunis (Cup) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Metlaoui Municipal stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.