Value bet: US Ben Guerdane to win @ 3.00 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUS Ben Guerdane to win ✓39% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓16% · fair 6.08
AS Gabes vs US Ben Guerdane: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Friday 10 April: AS Gabes v US Ben Guerdane in the Ligue 1, played at Gabes Municipal Stadium.
Current form
AS Gabes, last 4: LDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Club Africain, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
US Ben Guerdane, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with ES Metlaoui, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AS Gabes 0.8 xG, US Ben Guerdane 1.1 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AS Gabes 31%, draw 29%, US Ben Guerdane 39%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.48.
Price worth noting: US Ben Guerdane to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: AS Gabes 0–1 US Ben Guerdane. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AS Gabes31%fair 3.18 · @2.50
Draw29%fair 3.42 · @2.70
US Ben Guerdane39%fair 2.54 · @3.00
1.91Expected goals
0.80AS Gabes xG
1.12US Ben Guerdane xG
50%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–015%
1–113%
1–012%
0–29%
1–27%
From our goals model: AS Gabes 0.8 – 1.1 US Ben Guerdane expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
US Ben Guerdane to win✓
39%
2.54
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
1.48
Draw no bet
US Ben Guerdane (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
AS Gabes +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
US Ben Guerdane to score first✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT US Ben Guerdane / FT US Ben Guerdane✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
16%
6.08
–
Recent results
AS Gabes – last 4
LDLD
5 Apr
@ Club Africain
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ ES Metlaoui
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ CS Sfaxien
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs CA Bizertin
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
US Ben Guerdane – last 5
DLLLL
5 Apr
vs ES Metlaoui
0–0
D
22 Mar
@ M'saken
1–4
L
8 Mar
vs Club Africain
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs CS Sfaxien
0–1
L
0.4Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AS Gabes and US Ben Guerdane.
What is the prediction for AS Gabes vs US Ben Guerdane?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win AS Gabes vs US Ben Guerdane?
On our numbers AS Gabes have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 29% and US Ben Guerdane 39%.
How many goals will there be in AS Gabes vs US Ben Guerdane?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AS Gabes vs US Ben Guerdane?
Our predicted score is AS Gabes 0–1 US Ben Guerdane, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is AS Gabes vs US Ben Guerdane?
AS Gabes vs US Ben Guerdane (Ligue 1) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gabes Municipal Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
JS Kairouanaise1