Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.45
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.13
ES Tunis vs ES Zarzis: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Thursday 23 April: ES Tunis v ES Zarzis in the Ligue 1, played at Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi. In the table, ES Tunis are 2nd, among the top four, on 16 points after 7 matches; ES Zarzis are 13th (lower half) with 6.
Current form
ES Tunis, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over WS Al Hamma, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
ES Zarzis, last 3: LDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to AS Soliman, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours ES Tunis, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.3 for ES Zarzis.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ES Tunis 1.7 xG, ES Zarzis 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ES Tunis 65%, draw 22%, ES Zarzis 13%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: ES Tunis 1–0 ES Zarzis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ES Tunis65%fair 1.53 · @1.33
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @4.10
ES Zarzis13%fair 7.75 · @10.50
2.34Expected goals
1.69ES Tunis xG
0.65ES Zarzis xG
48%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: ES Tunis 1.7 – 0.6 ES Zarzis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ES Tunis to win✗
65%
1.53
1.33
Double chance
ES Tunis or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.45
Draw no bet
ES Tunis (draw no bet)
84%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
ES Tunis -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
ES Tunis to score first
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ES Tunis / FT ES Tunis✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.13
–
Recent results
ES Tunis – last 6
WWWDWW
28 Mar
@ WS Al Hamma
5–0
W
7 Mar
vs AS Marsa
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Olympique Béja
3–0
W
25 Feb
@ ES Metlaoui
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Stade Tunisien
1–0
W
17 Feb
@ AS Soliman
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
ES Zarzis – last 3
LDL
6 Mar
@ AS Soliman
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs JS Kairouanaise
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ US Monastirienne
0–3
L
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ES Tunis and ES Zarzis.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win ES Tunis vs ES Zarzis?
On our numbers ES Tunis have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and ES Zarzis 13%.
How many goals will there be in ES Tunis vs ES Zarzis?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ES Tunis vs ES Zarzis?
Our predicted score is ES Tunis 1–0 ES Zarzis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is ES Tunis vs ES Zarzis?
ES Tunis vs ES Zarzis (Ligue 1) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
