Karonga United 34%Draw 30%Red Lions 36%Expected goals 1.04 – 1.01
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultRed Lions to win ✗36% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓70% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.66
Karonga United vs Red Lions: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 31 May the Super League brings Karonga United against Red Lions. Kick-off: 13:30 WAT. In the table, Karonga United are 13th, lower half, on 18 points after 18 matches; Red Lions are 10th (lower half) with 22.
Current form
Karonga United, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Be Forward Wanderers, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.
Red Lions, last 4: WDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Mitundu Baptist, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Red Lions, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Karonga United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Karonga United 1.0 xG, Red Lions 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Karonga United 34%, draw 30%, Red Lions 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Karonga United 1–1 Red Lions. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Karonga United34%fair 2.91 · @2.70
Draw30%fair 3.35 · @2.80
Red Lions36%fair 2.80 · @2.55
2.04Expected goals
1.04Karonga United xG
1.01Red Lions xG
42%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–114%
1–013%
0–113%
0–013%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Karonga United 1.0 – 1.0 Red Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Red Lions to win✗
36%
2.80
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
–
Draw no bet
Red Lions (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Red Lions +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Karonga United to score first✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.66
–
Recent results
Karonga United – last 5
LWDDL
27 May
@ Be Forward Wanderers
1–4
L
24 May
@ CIVO United
1–0
W
17 May
vs MAFCO
1–1
D
10 May
@ Kamuzu Barracks
1–1
D
3 May
vs Masters FC
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Red Lions – last 4
WDWD
23 May
vs Mitundu Baptist
1–0
W
17 May
@ Nyasa Big Bullets
0–0
D
10 May
vs Dedza Dynamos
3–0
W
26 Apr
vs Creck
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Karonga United and Red Lions.
What is the prediction for Karonga United vs Red Lions?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Karonga United vs Red Lions?
On our numbers Karonga United have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Red Lions 36%.
How many goals will there be in Karonga United vs Red Lions?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karonga United vs Red Lions?
Our predicted score is Karonga United 1–1 Red Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Karonga United vs Red Lions?
Karonga United vs Red Lions (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
