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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kamuzu Barracks v MAFCO: numbers & prediction

Super League · Malawi
4–1
FT

MAFCO

WLWLW
Kamuzu Barracks 45%Draw 28%MAFCO 27% Expected goals 1.30 – 0.90
73%
Betarazi pick

Kamuzu Barracks or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultKamuzu Barracks to win ✓45% · @2.10
Double chanceKamuzu Barracks or draw ✓73% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.93

Kamuzu Barracks vs MAFCO: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 26 July the Super League brings Kamuzu Barracks against MAFCO. Kick-off: 13:30 WAT. In the table, Kamuzu Barracks are 14th, in the drop zone, on 17 points after 19 matches; MAFCO are 16th (in the drop zone) with 16. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Kamuzu Barracks, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Blue Eagles, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

MAFCO, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Red Lions, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours MAFCO, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Kamuzu Barracks.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kamuzu Barracks 1.3 xG, MAFCO 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kamuzu Barracks 45%, draw 28%, MAFCO 27%.
  • Lower-risk option: Kamuzu Barracks or draw (73%) at 1.22.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Kamuzu Barracks or draw (73%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kamuzu Barracks 1–0 MAFCO. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kamuzu Barracks45%fair 2.23 · @2.10
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @2.88
MAFCO27%fair 3.69 · @3.50
2.20Expected goals
1.30Kamuzu Barracks xG
0.90MAFCO xG
44%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Kamuzu Barracks 1.3 – 0.9 MAFCO expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKamuzu Barracks to win ✓45%2.232.10
Double chanceKamuzu Barracks or draw ✓73%1.371.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗56%1.77–
Draw no betKamuzu Barracks (draw no bet) ✓62%1.60–
Asian handicapMAFCO +1 (Asian handicap) ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗63%1.581.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82%1.22–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗93%1.08–
First team to scoreKamuzu Barracks to score first ✓53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kamuzu Barracks / FT Kamuzu Barracks ✓27%3.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%6.93–

Recent results

Kamuzu Barracks – last 6

WLLLLL
19 Julvs Blue Eagles2–1W
5 Jul@ Masters FC0–1L
27 Jun@ Chitipa United1–2L
21 Junvs Nyasa Big Bullets1–2L
31 May@ Dedza Dynamos0–1L
23 Mayvs Ekhaya1–4L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

MAFCO – last 6

WLWLWD
18 Julvs Red Lions2–0W
5 Jul@ Be Forward Wanderers0–3L
20 Junvs Dedza Dynamos3–0W
30 May@ Silver Strikers0–1L
24 Mayvs Chitipa United2–0W
17 May@ Karonga United1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Kamuzu Barracks and MAFCO.

Kamuzu Barracks vs MAFCO head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nyasa Big Bullets191261+2042
2Be Forward Wanderers191162+2039
3Silver Strikers191063+1436
4Blue Eagles191126+835
5Mitundu Baptist19685+126
6Ekhaya19676+325
7Moyale Barracks19676-225
8Chitipa United19748-725
9Masters FC18657-123
10Red Lions19577-322
11CIVO United19649-622
12Dedza Dynamos19487-1120
13Karonga United18468-918
14Kamuzu Barracks194510-817
15Creck194510-817
16MAFCO194411-1116

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kamuzu Barracks vs MAFCO?

Our pick is Kamuzu Barracks or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Kamuzu Barracks vs MAFCO?

On our numbers Kamuzu Barracks have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 28% and MAFCO 27%.

How many goals will there be in Kamuzu Barracks vs MAFCO?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kamuzu Barracks vs MAFCO?

Our predicted score is Kamuzu Barracks 1–0 MAFCO, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Kamuzu Barracks vs MAFCO?

Kamuzu Barracks vs MAFCO (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.