Karonga United 41%Draw 23%Chitipa United 35%Expected goals 1.18 – 1.07
62%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Chitipa United to win @ 3.60 – our chance 35% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKaronga United to win ✗41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.03
Karonga United vs Chitipa United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Karonga United welcome Chitipa United for a Super League fixture on Sunday 23 August (13:30 WAT). In the table, Karonga United are 13th, lower half, on 18 points after 18 matches; Chitipa United are 8th (upper half) with 25.
Current form
Karonga United, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Nyasa Big Bullets, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Chitipa United, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Mitundu Baptist, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Chitipa United, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Karonga United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Karonga United 1.2 xG, Chitipa United 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Karonga United 41%, draw 23%, Chitipa United 35%.
Price worth noting: Chitipa United to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Karonga United 1–1 Chitipa United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Karonga United41%fair 2.43 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
Chitipa United35%fair 2.82 · @3.60
2.25Expected goals
1.18Karonga United xG
1.07Chitipa United xG
44%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Karonga United 1.2 – 1.1 Chitipa United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karonga United to win✗
41%
2.43
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
–
Draw no bet
Karonga United (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Chitipa United +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Karonga United to score first
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karonga United / FT Karonga United✗
22%
4.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.03
–
Recent results
Karonga United – last 6
LLWLLL
16 Aug
vs Nyasa Big Bullets
0–1
L
9 Aug
@ Mitundu Baptist
1–2
L
26 Jul
vs Creck
2–1
W
19 Jul
@ Silver Strikers
1–4
L
4 Jul
vs Dedza Dynamos
1–3
L
21 Jun
@ Blue Eagles
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Chitipa United – last 6
WLWWDW
15 Aug
vs Mitundu Baptist
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Nyasa Big Bullets
0–2
L
25 Jul
vs Ekhaya
1–0
W
19 Jul
@ Dedza Dynamos
2–1
W
5 Jul
vs Silver Strikers
0–0
D
27 Jun
vs Kamuzu Barracks
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Karonga United and Chitipa United.
What is the prediction for Karonga United vs Chitipa United?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Karonga United vs Chitipa United?
On our numbers Karonga United have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chitipa United 35%.
How many goals will there be in Karonga United vs Chitipa United?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karonga United vs Chitipa United?
Our predicted score is Karonga United 1–1 Chitipa United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Karonga United vs Chitipa United?
Karonga United vs Chitipa United (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
