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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

MAFCO v Moyale Barracks: numbers & prediction

Super League · Malawi

MAFCO

LDLLW
1–2
FT
MAFCO 38%Draw 24%Moyale Barracks 38% Expected goals 1.03 – 1.02
65%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultMAFCO to win ✗38% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.58

MAFCO vs Moyale Barracks: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:30 WAT, Saturday 5 September: MAFCO v Moyale Barracks in the Super League. In the table, MAFCO are 16th, in the drop zone, on 16 points after 19 matches; Moyale Barracks are 7th (upper half) with 25.

Current form

MAFCO, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to CIVO United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Moyale Barracks, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Kamuzu Barracks, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give MAFCO 1.0 xG, Moyale Barracks 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – MAFCO 38%, draw 24%, Moyale Barracks 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: MAFCO 1–1 Moyale Barracks. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

MAFCO38%fair 2.63 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.08 · @2.88
Moyale Barracks38%fair 2.66 · @2.80
2.06Expected goals
1.03MAFCO xG
1.02Moyale Barracks xG
41%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–114%
1–013%
0–113%
0–013%
2–17%
1–27%

From our goals model: MAFCO 1.0 – 1.0 Moyale Barracks expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMAFCO to win ✗38%2.632.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.33
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗59%1.70–
Draw no betMAFCO (draw no bet) ✗50%1.99–
Asian handicapMoyale Barracks +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗65%1.531.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreMAFCO to score first ✗44%2.28–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗21%4.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.58–

Recent results

MAFCO – last 6

LDLLWL
23 Aug@ CIVO United0–1L
15 Augvs Masters FC1–1D
8 Augvs Blue Eagles0–1L
26 Jul@ Kamuzu Barracks1–4L
18 Julvs Red Lions2–0W
5 Jul@ Be Forward Wanderers0–3L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Moyale Barracks – last 6

DLDWDL
22 Augvs Kamuzu Barracks2–2D
15 Aug@ Red Lions0–1L
8 Augvs Be Forward Wanderers1–1D
25 Jul@ CIVO United1–0W
18 Julvs Masters FC2–2D
4 Jul@ Blue Eagles0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between MAFCO and Moyale Barracks.

MAFCO vs Moyale Barracks head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nyasa Big Bullets191261+2042
2Be Forward Wanderers191162+2039
3Silver Strikers191063+1436
4Blue Eagles191126+835
5Mitundu Baptist19685+126
6Ekhaya19676+325
7Moyale Barracks19676-225
8Chitipa United19748-725
9Masters FC18657-123
10Red Lions19577-322
11CIVO United19649-622
12Dedza Dynamos19487-1120
13Karonga United18468-918
14Kamuzu Barracks194510-817
15Creck194510-817
16MAFCO194411-1116

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for MAFCO vs Moyale Barracks?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win MAFCO vs Moyale Barracks?

On our numbers MAFCO have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Moyale Barracks 38%.

How many goals will there be in MAFCO vs Moyale Barracks?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for MAFCO vs Moyale Barracks?

Our predicted score is MAFCO 1–1 Moyale Barracks, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is MAFCO vs Moyale Barracks?

MAFCO vs Moyale Barracks (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.