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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

MAFCO v Nyasa Big Bullets: numbers & prediction

Super League · Malawi

MAFCO

LLLDL
0–3
FT
MAFCO 13%Draw 23%Nyasa Big Bullets 64% Expected goals 0.50 – 1.53
64%
Betarazi pick

Nyasa Big Bullets to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultNyasa Big Bullets to win ✓64% · @1.67
Double chanceNyasa Big Bullets or draw ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗65% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 4.99

MAFCO vs Nyasa Big Bullets: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Sunday 18 October: MAFCO v Nyasa Big Bullets in the Super League. In the table, MAFCO are 16th, in the drop zone, on 16 points after 19 matches; Nyasa Big Bullets are 1st (leading the league) with 42. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

MAFCO, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Chitipa United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Nyasa Big Bullets, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Blue Eagles, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Nyasa Big Bullets, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.2 for MAFCO.

Head to head

When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Nyasa Big Bullets 1–0 MAFCO.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give MAFCO 0.5 xG, Nyasa Big Bullets 1.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – MAFCO 13%, draw 23%, Nyasa Big Bullets 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Nyasa Big Bullets to win (64%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: MAFCO 0–1 Nyasa Big Bullets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

MAFCO13%fair 7.74 · @4.75
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.30
Nyasa Big Bullets64%fair 1.57 · @1.67
2.04Expected goals
0.50MAFCO xG
1.53Nyasa Big Bullets xG
40%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–120%
0–215%
0–013%
1–110%
0–38%
1–28%

From our goals model: MAFCO 0.5 – 1.5 Nyasa Big Bullets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNyasa Big Bullets to win ✓64%1.571.67 ▲
Double chanceNyasa Big Bullets or draw ✓87%1.151.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓60%1.67–
Draw no betNyasa Big Bullets (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapNyasa Big Bullets -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗65%1.551.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreNyasa Big Bullets to score first ✓65%1.53–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nyasa Big Bullets / FT Nyasa Big Bullets ✓38%2.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20%4.99–

Recent results

MAFCO – last 6

LLLDLL
10 Oct@ Chitipa United0–2L
5 Sepvs Moyale Barracks1–2L
23 Aug@ CIVO United0–1L
15 Augvs Masters FC1–1D
8 Augvs Blue Eagles0–1L
26 Jul@ Kamuzu Barracks1–4L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Nyasa Big Bullets – last 6

WWDWWL
11 Octvs Blue Eagles2–0W
5 Sepvs Silver Strikers5–0W
23 Aug@ Mitundu Baptist0–0D
16 Aug@ Karonga United1–0W
9 Augvs Chitipa United2–0W
25 Jul@ Dedza Dynamos0–1L
1.7Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 May 2026Nyasa Big Bullets v MAFCO1–0
MAFCO vs Nyasa Big Bullets head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nyasa Big Bullets191261+2042
2Be Forward Wanderers191162+2039
3Silver Strikers191063+1436
4Blue Eagles191126+835
5Mitundu Baptist19685+126
6Ekhaya19676+325
7Moyale Barracks19676-225
8Chitipa United19748-725
9Masters FC18657-123
10Red Lions19577-322
11CIVO United19649-622
12Dedza Dynamos19487-1120
13Karonga United18468-918
14Kamuzu Barracks194510-817
15Creck194510-817
16MAFCO194411-1116

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for MAFCO vs Nyasa Big Bullets?

Our pick is Nyasa Big Bullets to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win MAFCO vs Nyasa Big Bullets?

On our numbers MAFCO have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nyasa Big Bullets 64%.

How many goals will there be in MAFCO vs Nyasa Big Bullets?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for MAFCO vs Nyasa Big Bullets?

Our predicted score is MAFCO 0–1 Nyasa Big Bullets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is MAFCO vs Nyasa Big Bullets?

MAFCO vs Nyasa Big Bullets (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.