Value bet: Torpedo Moskva to win @ 1.94 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTorpedo Moskva to win ✓58% · @1.94
Double chanceTorpedo Moskva or draw ✓82% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.53
Torpedo Moskva vs KAMAZ: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Friday 17 April: Torpedo Moskva v KAMAZ in the First League, played at Arena Khimki. In the table, Torpedo Moskva are 3rd, among the top four, on 32 points after 17 matches; KAMAZ are 16th (in the drop zone) with 14. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Torpedo Moskva, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC UFA, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
KAMAZ, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with FK Neftekhimik, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Torpedo Moskva, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.6 for KAMAZ.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Torpedo Moskva 1.8 xG, KAMAZ 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Torpedo Moskva 58%, draw 24%, KAMAZ 18%.
Lower-risk option: Torpedo Moskva or draw (82%) at 1.19.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Torpedo Moskva to win @1.94 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (69%, odds 1.39). Most likely score in line with that pick: Torpedo Moskva 2–0 KAMAZ. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Torpedo Moskva58%fair 1.73 · @1.94
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.10
KAMAZ18%fair 5.68 · @4.15
2.53Expected goals
1.76Torpedo Moskva xG
0.77KAMAZ xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Torpedo Moskva 1.8 – 0.8 KAMAZ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Torpedo Moskva
KAMAZ
Attack vs First League average
+19%
-3%
Goals conceded vs average
-32%
+18%
Our expected goals here
2.09
0.77
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torpedo Moskva to win✓
58%
1.73
1.94 ▲
Double chance
Torpedo Moskva or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Torpedo Moskva (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Torpedo Moskva -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.39
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Torpedo Moskva to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Torpedo Moskva ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torpedo Moskva / FT Torpedo Moskva✓
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.53
–
Recent results
Torpedo Moskva – last 6
DWWWLW
6 Apr
@ FC UFA
1–1
D
30 Mar
vs Ska-khabarovsk
4–1
W
23 Mar
@ Chelyabinsk
1–0
W
16 Mar
vs FK Neftekhimik
3–0
W
8 Mar
vs Rodina Moskva
0–2
L
1 Mar
@ Chernomorets
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
KAMAZ – last 5
DLDWW
10 Apr
vs FK Neftekhimik
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Enisey
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Arsenal Tula
1–1
D
16 Feb
vs Lokomotiv
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Chelyabinsk
5–2
W
1.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Torpedo Moskva and KAMAZ.
What is the prediction for Torpedo Moskva vs KAMAZ?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.
Who will win Torpedo Moskva vs KAMAZ?
On our numbers Torpedo Moskva have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and KAMAZ 18%.
How many goals will there be in Torpedo Moskva vs KAMAZ?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torpedo Moskva vs KAMAZ?
Our predicted score is Torpedo Moskva 2–0 KAMAZ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Torpedo Moskva vs KAMAZ?
Torpedo Moskva vs KAMAZ (First League) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Khimki.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
