On Sunday 12 April the Segunda División brings Fenix against Cerrito at Parque Capurro. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Fenix are 11th, lower half, on 31 points after 25 matches; Cerrito are 8th (lower half) with 34. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fenix 1.3 xG, Cerrito 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fenix 39%, draw 28%, Cerrito 32%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.72, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fenix 1–1 Cerrito. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fenix39%fair 2.53 · @2.38
Draw28%fair 3.54 · @2.90
Cerrito32%fair 3.10 · @2.88
2.47Expected goals
1.30Fenix xG
1.17Cerrito xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Fenix 1.3 – 1.2 Cerrito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Fenix
Cerrito
Attack vs Segunda División average
-4%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
-4%
Our expected goals here
1.21
1.11
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fenix to win
39%
2.53
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win
72%
1.39
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.72
1.80
Draw no bet
Fenix (draw no bet)
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Cerrito +0.5 (Asian handicap)
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Fenix to score first
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fenix / FT Fenix
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
11.94
–
Recent results
Fenix – last 2
WD
5 Apr
vs Tacuarembo
3–2
W
15 Mar
@ Uruguay Montevideo
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cerrito – last 1
W
6 Apr
vs Uruguay Montevideo
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fenix and Cerrito.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Fenix vs Cerrito?
On our numbers Fenix have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Cerrito 32%.
How many goals will there be in Fenix vs Cerrito?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fenix vs Cerrito?
Our predicted score is Fenix 1–1 Cerrito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Fenix vs Cerrito?
Fenix vs Cerrito (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Capurro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
