Value bet: BKMA to win @ 2.65 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBKMA to win ✗43% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.89
BKMA vs Gandzasar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gandzasar travel to face BKMA on Sunday 19 April in the Premier League, with Football Academy Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, BKMA are 11th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 13 matches; Gandzasar are 12th (in the drop zone) with 3.
Current form
BKMA, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Shirak, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Gandzasar, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to FC Noah, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give BKMA 1.5 xG, Gandzasar 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – BKMA 43%, draw 25%, Gandzasar 32%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: BKMA to win @2.65 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: BKMA 1–1 Gandzasar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
BKMA43%fair 2.35 · @2.65
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.20
Gandzasar32%fair 3.08 · @2.40
2.59Expected goals
1.50BKMA xG
1.09Gandzasar xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: BKMA 1.5 – 1.1 Gandzasar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
BKMA to win✗
43%
2.35
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.70
Draw no bet
BKMA (draw no bet)
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Gandzasar +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
BKMA to score first
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT BKMA / FT BKMA✗
28%
3.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.89
–
Recent results
BKMA – last 6
DDLLLL
16 Apr
@ Shirak
1–1
D
12 Apr
vs Shirak
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ FC Noah
0–2
L
20 Mar
vs FC Urartu
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ FC Urartu
1–4
L
8 Mar
vs FC Noah
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Gandzasar – last 3
LLD
10 Apr
vs FC Noah
0–3
L
5 Apr
@ FC Urartu
2–4
L
6 Mar
vs FC Urartu
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between BKMA and Gandzasar.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win BKMA vs Gandzasar?
On our numbers BKMA have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gandzasar 32%.
How many goals will there be in BKMA vs Gandzasar?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BKMA vs Gandzasar?
Our predicted score is BKMA 1–1 Gandzasar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is BKMA vs Gandzasar?
BKMA vs Gandzasar (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Football Academy Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
