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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Shirak v Ararat-Armenia: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Armenia · Gyumri City Stadium

Shirak

DDLLL
0–4
FT
Shirak 21%Draw 23%Ararat-Armenia 57% Expected goals 1.03 – 1.60
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultArarat-Armenia to win ✓57% · @1.35
Double chanceArarat-Armenia or draw ✓79% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.53

Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 20 April the Premier League brings Shirak against Ararat-Armenia at Gyumri City Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Shirak are 7th, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; Ararat-Armenia are 3rd (among the top four) with 29. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Shirak, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with BKMA, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Ararat-Armenia, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FC Noah, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Ararat-Armenia, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for Shirak.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Apr 2026) it ended Shirak 0–2 Ararat-Armenia. The last 2 head-to-heads: Shirak 0 wins, Ararat-Armenia 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.5 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shirak 1.0 xG, Ararat-Armenia 1.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Shirak 21%, draw 23%, Ararat-Armenia 57%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.93.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shirak 1–1 Ararat-Armenia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shirak21%fair 4.86 · @7.50
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @4.40
Ararat-Armenia57%fair 1.76 · @1.35
2.63Expected goals
1.03Shirak xG
1.60Ararat-Armenia xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%

From our goals model: Shirak 1.0 – 1.6 Ararat-Armenia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArarat-Armenia to win ✓57%1.761.35
Double chanceArarat-Armenia or draw ✓79%1.261.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.791.93 ▲
Draw no betArarat-Armenia (draw no bet) ✓73%1.36–
Asian handicapShirak +1 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.931.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.441.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreArarat-Armenia to score first ✓56%1.77–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ararat-Armenia / FT Ararat-Armenia ✓30%3.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.53–

Recent results

Shirak – last 6

DDLLLL
16 Aprvs BKMA1–1D
12 Apr@ BKMA0–0D
6 Aprvs Pyunik Yerevan0–1L
2 Aprvs Ararat-Armenia0–2L
22 Mar@ FC Noah0–3L
16 Marvs FC Noah0–2L
0.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Ararat-Armenia – last 6

LDWDWW
16 Aprvs FC Noah0–1L
6 Aprvs Alashkert1–1D
2 Apr@ Shirak2–0W
20 Mar@ Van2–2D
16 Marvs Van3–0W
4 Marvs Shirak1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Apr 2026Shirak v Ararat-Armenia0–2
4 Mar 2026Ararat-Armenia v Shirak1–0
Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Noah131111+2234
2Pyunik Yerevan13940+2231
3Ararat-Armenia12921+1429
4Alashkert13742+1625
5Sardarapat13553020
6FC Urartu12444+416
7Shirak13427-214
8Van13328-2011
9Ararat13328-1111
10Syunik13328-1411
11BKMA13328-911
12Gandzasar131012-223

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia?

On our numbers Shirak have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ararat-Armenia 57%.

How many goals will there be in Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia?

Our predicted score is Shirak 1–1 Ararat-Armenia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia?

Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 20 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Gyumri City Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.