Value bet: Shirak to win @ 3.80 – our chance 30% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGandzasar to win ✓42% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.40
Gandzasar vs Shirak: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Sunday 26 April: Gandzasar v Shirak in the Premier League, played at Stadion Gandzasar. In the table, Gandzasar are 12th, in the drop zone, on 3 points after 13 matches; Shirak are 7th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Gandzasar, last 4: DLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with BKMA, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Shirak, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Ararat-Armenia, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gandzasar 1.1 xG, Shirak 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gandzasar 42%, draw 27%, Shirak 30%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Shirak to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gandzasar 1–1 Shirak. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gandzasar42%fair 2.36 · @1.91
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.20
Shirak30%fair 3.29 · @3.80
2.40Expected goals
1.14Gandzasar xG
1.25Shirak xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Gandzasar 1.1 – 1.3 Shirak expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gandzasar to win✓
42%
2.36
1.91
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Gandzasar (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Gandzasar +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Shirak to score first✓
48%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shirak / FT Shirak✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.40
–
Recent results
Gandzasar – last 4
DLLD
19 Apr
@ BKMA
1–1
D
10 Apr
vs FC Noah
0–3
L
5 Apr
@ FC Urartu
2–4
L
6 Mar
vs FC Urartu
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Shirak – last 6
LDDLLL
20 Apr
vs Ararat-Armenia
0–4
L
16 Apr
vs BKMA
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ BKMA
0–0
D
6 Apr
vs Pyunik Yerevan
0–1
L
2 Apr
vs Ararat-Armenia
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ FC Noah
0–3
L
0.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gandzasar and Shirak.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Gandzasar vs Shirak?
On our numbers Gandzasar have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Shirak 30%.
How many goals will there be in Gandzasar vs Shirak?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gandzasar vs Shirak?
Our predicted score is Gandzasar 1–1 Shirak, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Gandzasar vs Shirak?
Gandzasar vs Shirak (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Gandzasar.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
