Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.80
Newroz vs Al Karkh: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Wednesday 8 April: Newroz v Al Karkh in the Iraqi League. In the table, Newroz are 2nd, among the top four, on 26 points after 13 matches; Al Karkh are 16th (lower half) with 12. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Newroz, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Naft Maysan, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Al Karkh, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Mosul, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Newroz, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for Al Karkh.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newroz 1.4 xG, Al Karkh 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newroz 48%, draw 26%, Al Karkh 26%.
Lower-risk option: Newroz or draw (74%) at 1.28.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Newroz or draw (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newroz 1–0 Al Karkh. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newroz48%fair 2.09 · @2.10
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.10
Al Karkh26%fair 3.86 · @3.10
2.28Expected goals
1.44Newroz xG
0.84Al Karkh xG
46%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Newroz 1.4 – 0.8 Al Karkh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newroz to win✗
48%
2.09
2.10
Double chance
Newroz or draw✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Newroz (draw no bet)
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Al Karkh +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Newroz to score first✗
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newroz / FT Newroz✗
30%
3.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.80
–
Recent results
Newroz – last 6
WWWWWL
31 Mar
vs Naft Maysan
2–0
W
25 Mar
vs Gharraf
2–1
W
19 Mar
vs Al-Qasim
2–1
W
12 Mar
@ Baghdad
2–0
W
20 Feb
vs Al Najaf
2–0
W
13 Feb
@ Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al Karkh – last 6
WWLDWL
3 Apr
@ Mosul
2–1
W
30 Mar
vs Al Minaa Basra
1–0
W
26 Mar
@ Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0–1
L
18 Mar
vs Naft Maysan
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Naft
1–0
W
13 Feb
vs Al Talaba
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newroz and Al Karkh.
Our pick is Newroz or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Newroz vs Al Karkh?
On our numbers Newroz have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Al Karkh 26%.
How many goals will there be in Newroz vs Al Karkh?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newroz vs Al Karkh?
Our predicted score is Newroz 1–0 Al Karkh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Newroz vs Al Karkh?
Newroz vs Al Karkh (Iraqi League) kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Al Najaf1