Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Picks by market
ResultBarretos to win ✗39% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.55
Barretos vs Grêmio Sãocarlense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Saturday 11 April: Barretos v Grêmio Sãocarlense in the Paulista A4.
Current form
Barretos, last 3: DLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Penapolense, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Grêmio Sãocarlense, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over São Caetano, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Grêmio Sãocarlense, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Barretos.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barretos 1.0 xG, Grêmio Sãocarlense 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barretos 39%, draw 24%, Grêmio Sãocarlense 36%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.10.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barretos 1–0 Grêmio Sãocarlense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barretos39%fair 2.55 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @2.95
Grêmio Sãocarlense36%fair 2.75 · @2.75
1.98Expected goals
1.02Barretos xG
0.96Grêmio Sãocarlense xG
50%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
0–014%
1–114%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Barretos 1.0 – 1.0 Grêmio Sãocarlense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barretos to win✗
39%
2.55
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Barretos (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Grêmio Sãocarlense +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Barretos to score first
44%
2.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
14.55
–
Recent results
Barretos – last 3
DLW
25 Mar
@ Penapolense
1–1
D
19 Mar
vs Inter de Bebedouro
0–1
L
25 Feb
@ Jabaquara
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Grêmio Sãocarlense – last 5
WWDLW
28 Mar
vs São Caetano
4–1
W
25 Mar
@ Joseense
1–0
W
21 Mar
vs Penapolense
0–0
D
18 Mar
@ Taquaritinga
0–1
L
25 Feb
vs Tanabi
2–1
W
1.4Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barretos and Grêmio Sãocarlense.
What is the prediction for Barretos vs Grêmio Sãocarlense?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Barretos vs Grêmio Sãocarlense?
On our numbers Barretos have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Grêmio Sãocarlense 36%.
How many goals will there be in Barretos vs Grêmio Sãocarlense?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barretos vs Grêmio Sãocarlense?
Our predicted score is Barretos 1–0 Grêmio Sãocarlense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Barretos vs Grêmio Sãocarlense?
Barretos vs Grêmio Sãocarlense (Paulista A4) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A4 · Brazil
