Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
1
Value bet: Grêmio Sãocarlense to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGrêmio Sãocarlense to win ✓63% · @1.85
Double chanceGrêmio Sãocarlense or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20% · fair 4.99
Grêmio Sãocarlense vs Barretos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 19 April: Grêmio Sãocarlense v Barretos in the Paulista A4.
Current form
Grêmio Sãocarlense, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Barretos, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Barretos, last 4: DDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Grêmio Sãocarlense, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Grêmio Sãocarlense, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Barretos.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Apr 2026) it ended Barretos 1–1 Grêmio Sãocarlense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Grêmio Sãocarlense 1.5 xG, Barretos 0.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Grêmio Sãocarlense 63%, draw 21%, Barretos 16%.
Lower-risk option: Grêmio Sãocarlense or draw (84%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Grêmio Sãocarlense to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grêmio Sãocarlense 1–0 Barretos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Grêmio Sãocarlense63%fair 1.59 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.10
Barretos16%fair 6.34 · @4.20
1.98Expected goals
1.46Grêmio Sãocarlense xG
0.53Barretos xG
48%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
2–015%
0–014%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Grêmio Sãocarlense 1.5 – 0.5 Barretos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Grêmio Sãocarlense vs Barretos?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Grêmio Sãocarlense vs Barretos?
On our numbers Grêmio Sãocarlense have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Barretos 16%.
How many goals will there be in Grêmio Sãocarlense vs Barretos?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grêmio Sãocarlense vs Barretos?
Our predicted score is Grêmio Sãocarlense 1–0 Barretos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Grêmio Sãocarlense vs Barretos?
Grêmio Sãocarlense vs Barretos (Paulista A4) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A4 · Brazil
