Boston River 40%Draw 29%Cerro Largo 31%Expected goals 1.18 – 0.97
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBoston River to win ✓40% · @2.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.73
Boston River vs Cerro Largo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Boston River welcome Cerro Largo to Estadio Campeones Olimpicos for a Primera División Apertura fixture on Monday 20 April (21:00 WAT). In the table, Boston River are 11th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Cerro Largo are 15th (in the drop zone) with 9.
Current form
Boston River, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Millonarios, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Cerro Largo, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cerro, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Boston River 1.2 xG, Cerro Largo 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Boston River 40%, draw 29%, Cerro Largo 31%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Boston River 1–1 Cerro Largo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Boston River40%fair 2.50 · @2.36
Draw29%fair 3.47 · @3.00
Cerro Largo31%fair 3.20 · @3.00
2.15Expected goals
1.18Boston River xG
0.97Cerro Largo xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Boston River 1.2 – 1.0 Cerro Largo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Boston River
Cerro Largo
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average
-15%
-22%
Goals conceded vs average
+8%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.15
0.90
Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boston River to win✓
40%
2.50
2.36
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Boston River (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Cerro Largo +1 (Asian handicap)
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Boston River to score first✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boston River / FT Boston River✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.73
–
Recent results
Boston River – last 6
LLWLLW
16 Apr
@ Millonarios
0–1
L
8 Apr
vs Sao Paulo
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Juventud
2–1
W
26 Mar
vs Penarol
0–2
L
10 Mar
vs Liverpool Montevideo
0–1
L
5 Mar
vs Racing Montevideo
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Cerro Largo – last 6
DDLWWL
11 Apr
vs Cerro
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Albion FC
2–2
D
25 Mar
@ Club Nacional
0–3
L
20 Mar
vs Deportivo Maldonado
3–1
W
15 Mar
@ Central Espanol
3–1
W
9 Mar
vs Atletico Torque
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Boston River and Cerro Largo.
What is the prediction for Boston River vs Cerro Largo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Boston River vs Cerro Largo?
On our numbers Boston River have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Cerro Largo 31%.
How many goals will there be in Boston River vs Cerro Largo?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boston River vs Cerro Largo?
Our predicted score is Boston River 1–1 Cerro Largo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Boston River vs Cerro Largo?
Boston River vs Cerro Largo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Monday 20 April 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones Olimpicos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
