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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Independ. Rivadavia v Tigre: numbers & prediction

Copa Argentina · Argentina · Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra
1–0
FT

Tigre

WDDWL
Independ. Rivadavia 42%Draw 28%Tigre 29% Expected goals 1.24 – 0.96
80%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultIndepend. Rivadavia to win ✓42% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.21

Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Independ. Rivadavia welcome Tigre to Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra for a Copa Argentina fixture on Sunday 12 July (20:15 WAT).

Current form

Independ. Rivadavia, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Bolívar, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Tigre, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Alianza Atletico, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Apr 2026) it ended Tigre 0–2 Independ. Rivadavia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Independ. Rivadavia 1.2 xG, Tigre 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Independ. Rivadavia 42%, draw 28%, Tigre 29%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.93.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independ. Rivadavia 1–0 Tigre. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Independ. Rivadavia42%fair 2.35 · @2.32
Draw28%fair 3.53 · @2.98
Tigre29%fair 3.43 · @3.30
2.21Expected goals
1.24Independ. Rivadavia xG
0.96Tigre xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Independ. Rivadavia 1.2 – 1.0 Tigre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Independ. RivadaviaTigre
Attack vs Copa Argentina average+3%-5%
Goals conceded vs average-23%-8%
Our expected goals here1.310.99

Our own ratings from every Copa Argentina result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIndepend. Rivadavia to win ✓42%2.352.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.401.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.861.93
Draw no betIndepend. Rivadavia (draw no bet) ✓59%1.69–
Asian handicapTigre +1 (Asian handicap)75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗65%1.541.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.641.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.241.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.05
First team to scoreIndepend. Rivadavia to score first ✓50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Independ. Rivadavia / FT Independ. Rivadavia ✓25%4.08–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.21–

Recent results

Independ. Rivadavia – last 6

WWLDWD
28 May@ Bolívar3–1W
21 May@ Deportivo La Guaira4–2W
10 Mayvs Union Santa Fe1–2L
7 Mayvs Fluminense1–1D
30 Aprvs Deportivo La Guaira4–1W
20 Apr@ Banfield0–0D
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Tigre – last 6

WDDWLD
29 Mayvs Alianza Atletico2–0W
20 May@ America de Cali1–1D
7 May@ Macara2–2D
1 Mayvs America de Cali2–0W
25 Apr@ Sarmiento Junin0–1L
21 Aprvs Huracan1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Apr 2026Tigre v Independ. Rivadavia0–2
Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre?

On our numbers Independ. Rivadavia have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Tigre 29%.

How many goals will there be in Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre?

Our predicted score is Independ. Rivadavia 1–0 Tigre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre?

Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre (Copa Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.