Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.35 – our chance 50% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRiver Plate to win ✗65% · @1.39
Double chanceRiver Plate or draw ✗87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.35
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.17
River Plate vs Aldosivi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aldosivi travel to face River Plate on Saturday 18 July in the Copa Argentina, with Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena the venue – the ball rolls at 01:45 WAT.
Current form
River Plate, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Flamengo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Aldosivi, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to River Plate, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours River Plate, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for Aldosivi.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended River Plate 3–1 Aldosivi.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give River Plate 1.7 xG, Aldosivi 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – River Plate 65%, draw 22%, Aldosivi 13%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.35.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.35 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: River Plate 1–0 Aldosivi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
River Plate65%fair 1.54 · @1.39
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @4.20
Aldosivi13%fair 7.54 · @8.80
2.38Expected goals
1.74River Plate xG
0.64Aldosivi xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: River Plate 1.7 – 0.6 Aldosivi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
River Plate
Aldosivi
Attack vs Copa Argentina average
-7%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
+14%
+4%
Our expected goals here
1.89
0.71
Our own ratings from every Copa Argentina result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for River Plate vs Aldosivi?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win River Plate vs Aldosivi?
On our numbers River Plate have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Aldosivi 13%.
How many goals will there be in River Plate vs Aldosivi?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for River Plate vs Aldosivi?
Our predicted score is River Plate 1–0 Aldosivi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is River Plate vs Aldosivi?
River Plate vs Aldosivi (Copa Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 01:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
