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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Spartak Moscow v CSKA Moscow: numbers & prediction

Cup · Russia · Lukoil Arena
1–0
FT
Spartak Moscow 57%Draw 24%CSKA Moscow 19% Expected goals 1.94 – 1.08
81%
Betarazi pick

Spartak Moscow or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultSpartak Moscow to win ✓57% · @1.77
Double chanceSpartak Moscow or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08

Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Wednesday 6 May: Spartak Moscow v CSKA Moscow in the Cup, played at Lukoil Arena.

Current form

Spartak Moscow, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Krylia Sovetov, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

CSKA Moscow, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC Rostov, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Spartak Moscow, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for CSKA Moscow.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Moscow 1.9 xG, CSKA Moscow 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Moscow 57%, draw 24%, CSKA Moscow 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Spartak Moscow or draw (81%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Spartak Moscow or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Moscow 1–1 CSKA Moscow. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Spartak Moscow57%fair 1.74 · @1.77
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.90
CSKA Moscow19%fair 5.25 · @4.60
3.02Expected goals
1.94Spartak Moscow xG
1.08CSKA Moscow xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%

From our goals model: Spartak Moscow 1.9 – 1.1 CSKA Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpartak Moscow to win ✓57%1.741.77
Double chanceSpartak Moscow or draw ✓81%1.241.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.681.73
Draw no betSpartak Moscow (draw no bet) ✓75%1.33–
Asian handicapCSKA Moscow +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.281.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.811.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.501.34
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.211.08
First team to scoreSpartak Moscow to score first ✓61%1.64–
Half-time resultSpartak Moscow ahead at half-time ✓42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spartak Moscow / FT Spartak Moscow ✓36%2.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.08–

Recent results

Spartak Moscow – last 6

LWLWWW
1 May@ Krylia Sovetov1–2L
26 Apr@ Nizhny Novgorod2–1W
23 Aprvs FC Krasnodar1–2L
19 Aprvs Akhmat3–1W
5 Aprvs Lokomotiv2–1W
22 Mar@ FC Orenburg2–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

CSKA Moscow – last 6

DLWWLL
21 Aprvs FC Rostov1–1D
12 Aprvs FC Sochi0–1L
7 Apr@ Krylia Sovetov5–2W
4 Apr@ Akron2–1W
17 Mar@ FC Krasnodar0–4L
8 Marvs Dynamo1–4L
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Spartak Moscow and CSKA Moscow.

Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow?

Our pick is Spartak Moscow or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow?

On our numbers Spartak Moscow have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and CSKA Moscow 19%.

How many goals will there be in Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow?

Our predicted score is Spartak Moscow 1–1 CSKA Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow?

Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Lukoil Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.