Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.62 – our chance 66% vs 62% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKA Akureyri to win ✗71% · @1.22
Double chanceKA Akureyri or draw ✗86% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.82
KA Akureyri vs Ægir: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Thursday 14 May: KA Akureyri v Ægir in the Cup.
Current form
KA Akureyri, last 4: DLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with IA Akranes, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Ægir, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to HK Kopavogur, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 4 lost from 5. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give KA Akureyri 3.1 xG, Ægir 1.4 xG – a total near 4.4. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 66% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – KA Akureyri 71%, draw 15%, Ægir 14%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.62 – the bookmaker implies 62%, our ratings say 66%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: KA Akureyri 3–1 Ægir. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
KA Akureyri71%fair 1.41 · @1.22
Draw15%fair 6.56 · @5.75
Ægir14%fair 7.19 · @9.25
4.42Expected goals
3.06KA Akureyri xG
1.37Ægir xG
66%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–18%
2–18%
4–16%
3–06%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: KA Akureyri 3.1 – 1.4 Ægir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
KA Akureyri to win✗
71%
1.41
1.22
Double chance
KA Akureyri or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.62 ▲
Draw no bet
KA Akureyri (draw no bet)✗
84%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
KA Akureyri -1 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
1.40
First team to score
KA Akureyri to score first
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
KA Akureyri ahead at half-time✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT KA Akureyri / FT KA Akureyri✗
49%
2.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
12.82
–
Recent results
KA Akureyri – last 4
DLLW
22 Apr
@ IA Akranes
1–1
D
17 Apr
vs Vikingur Reykjavik
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Njardvik
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Vikingur Reykjavik
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Ægir – last 5
LWLLL
1 May
@ HK Kopavogur
1–2
L
5 Apr
@ Árbær
7–1
W
7 Mar
@ HK Kopavogur
1–2
L
27 Feb
@ Keflavik
1–3
L
17 Feb
@ Stjarnan
0–4
L
2.0Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KA Akureyri and Ægir.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win KA Akureyri vs Ægir?
On our numbers KA Akureyri have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Ægir 14%.
How many goals will there be in KA Akureyri vs Ægir?
We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KA Akureyri vs Ægir?
Our predicted score is KA Akureyri 3–1 Ægir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.
When is KA Akureyri vs Ægir?
KA Akureyri vs Ægir (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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