Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.03 – our chance 56% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKAMAZ to win ✓36% · @2.84
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.03
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.38
KAMAZ vs Spartak Kostroma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 1 May the First League brings KAMAZ against Spartak Kostroma at KAMAZ Stadium. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT. In the table, KAMAZ are 16th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 17 matches; Spartak Kostroma are 6th (upper half) with 28. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
KAMAZ, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FC UFA, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Spartak Kostroma, last 4: WLDD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Ska-khabarovsk, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give KAMAZ 1.3 xG, Spartak Kostroma 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – KAMAZ 36%, draw 28%, Spartak Kostroma 36%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.03.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.03 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: KAMAZ 1–1 Spartak Kostroma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
KAMAZ36%fair 2.75 · @2.84
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @2.92
Spartak Kostroma36%fair 2.78 · @2.60
2.49Expected goals
1.26KAMAZ xG
1.24Spartak Kostroma xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: KAMAZ 1.3 – 1.2 Spartak Kostroma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
KAMAZ
Spartak Kostroma
Attack vs First League average
-3%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
+18%
-5%
Our expected goals here
1.37
1.32
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
KAMAZ to win✓
36%
2.75
2.84
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
2.03 ▲
Draw no bet
KAMAZ (draw no bet)✓
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Spartak Kostroma +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
1.12
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.01
First team to score
KAMAZ to score first✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT KAMAZ / FT KAMAZ✓
21%
4.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.38
–
Recent results
KAMAZ – last 6
WLDLDW
22 Apr
@ FC UFA
1–0
W
17 Apr
@ Torpedo Moskva
0–2
L
10 Apr
vs FK Neftekhimik
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Enisey
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Arsenal Tula
1–1
D
16 Feb
vs Lokomotiv
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Spartak Kostroma – last 4
WLDD
22 Apr
vs Ska-khabarovsk
3–0
W
28 Mar
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
1–1
D
7 Mar
@ Chelyabinsk
3–3
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KAMAZ and Spartak Kostroma.
What is the prediction for KAMAZ vs Spartak Kostroma?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win KAMAZ vs Spartak Kostroma?
On our numbers KAMAZ have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Spartak Kostroma 36%.
How many goals will there be in KAMAZ vs Spartak Kostroma?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KAMAZ vs Spartak Kostroma?
Our predicted score is KAMAZ 1–1 Spartak Kostroma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is KAMAZ vs Spartak Kostroma?
KAMAZ vs Spartak Kostroma (First League) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at KAMAZ Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
