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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

TSC Backa Topola v Napredak: numbers & prediction

Super Liga · Serbia · TSC Arena

TSC Backa Topola

LWDDL
4–1
FT

Napredak

LLDLD
TSC Backa Topola 72%Draw 20%Napredak 9% Expected goals 2.14 – 0.69
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultTSC Backa Topola to win ✓72% · @1.24
Double chanceTSC Backa Topola or draw ✓91% · fair 1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.74

TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Sunday 19 April: TSC Backa Topola v Napredak in the Super Liga, played at TSC Arena.

Current form

TSC Backa Topola, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to IMT Novi Beograd, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Napredak, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Mladost Lucani, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours TSC Backa Topola, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Napredak.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Napredak 1–2 TSC Backa Topola.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give TSC Backa Topola 2.1 xG, Napredak 0.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – TSC Backa Topola 72%, draw 20%, Napredak 9%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: TSC Backa Topola 2–0 Napredak. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

TSC Backa Topola72%fair 1.39 · @1.24
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @4.80
Napredak9%fair 11.65 · @12.50
2.82Expected goals
2.14TSC Backa Topola xG
0.69Napredak xG
53%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%

From our goals model: TSC Backa Topola 2.1 – 0.7 Napredak expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTSC Backa Topola to win ✓72%1.391.24
Double chanceTSC Backa Topola or draw ✓91%1.09–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.882.10 ▲
Draw no betTSC Backa Topola (draw no bet) ✓89%1.12–
Asian handicapTSC Backa Topola -1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.291.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.801.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.521.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗84%1.18–
First team to scoreTSC Backa Topola to score first71%1.40–
Half-time resultTSC Backa Topola ahead at half-time ✓51%1.97–
Half-time / full-timeHT TSC Backa Topola / FT TSC Backa Topola ✓47%2.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.74–

Recent results

TSC Backa Topola – last 6

LWDDLD
8 Aprvs IMT Novi Beograd1–3L
3 Apr@ Napredak2–1W
22 Marvs Radnicki 19230–0D
7 Marvs Železničar Pančevo0–0D
28 Feb@ Novi Pazar0–2L
22 Febvs Cukaricki1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Napredak – last 6

LLDLDL
8 Apr@ Mladost Lucani0–2L
3 Aprvs TSC Backa Topola1–2L
16 Marvs OFK Beograd2–2D
8 Mar@ FK Crvena Zvezda0–4L
1 Marvs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV1–1D
21 Feb@ Radnik Surdulica1–2L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Apr 2026Napredak v TSC Backa Topola1–2
TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak head-to-head page →

More Super Liga predictions

League hub
– Javor1 FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV0 161%1.74X22%3.30217%4.80 2.1–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.40
– Radnicki 19231 Radnicki NIS0 159%1.86X23%3.35218%3.90 1.8–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.30
– IMT Novi Beograd Mladost Lucani 153%1.75X29%3.50218%4.33 1.5–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.28

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak?

On our numbers TSC Backa Topola have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Napredak 9%.

How many goals will there be in TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak?

Our predicted score is TSC Backa Topola 2–0 Napredak, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak?

TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak (Super Liga) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at TSC Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.