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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Javor v Napredak: numbers & prediction

Super Liga · Serbia · Stadion Kraj Moravice

Javor

LLLDL
4–0
FT
Javor 67%Draw 21%Napredak 12% Expected goals 2.00 – 0.72
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultJavor to win ✓67% · @1.46
Double chanceJavor or draw ✓88% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.53

Javor vs Napredak: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Javor welcome Napredak to Stadion Kraj Moravice for a Super Liga fixture on Monday 27 April (17:00 WAT).

Current form

Javor, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Radnicki NIS, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.

Napredak, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to IMT Novi Beograd, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Javor 2.0 xG, Napredak 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Javor 67%, draw 21%, Napredak 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Javor 2–0 Napredak. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Javor67%fair 1.50 · @1.46
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.95
Napredak12%fair 8.22 · @6.50
2.72Expected goals
2.00Javor xG
0.72Napredak xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
1–19%
3–09%
0–07%

From our goals model: Javor 2.0 – 0.7 Napredak expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJavor to win ✓67%1.501.46
Double chanceJavor or draw ✓88%1.141.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.852.05 ▲
Draw no betJavor (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapJavor -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.361.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%1.981.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.391.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreJavor to score first ✓69%1.46–
Half-time resultJavor ahead at half-time ✓48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Javor / FT Javor ✓44%2.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.53–

Recent results

Javor – last 5

LLLDL
23 Apr@ Radnicki NIS2–3L
8 Aprvs Železničar Pančevo1–2L
1 Mar@ Radnicki NIS0–1L
23 Febvs Mladost Lucani0–0D
16 Feb@ IMT Novi Beograd0–1L
0.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Napredak – last 6

LLLLDL
23 Aprvs IMT Novi Beograd0–1L
19 Apr@ TSC Backa Topola1–4L
8 Apr@ Mladost Lucani0–2L
3 Aprvs TSC Backa Topola1–2L
16 Marvs OFK Beograd2–2D
8 Mar@ FK Crvena Zvezda0–4L
0.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Javor and Napredak.

Javor vs Napredak head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Javor vs Napredak?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Javor vs Napredak?

On our numbers Javor have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Napredak 12%.

How many goals will there be in Javor vs Napredak?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Javor vs Napredak?

Our predicted score is Javor 2–0 Napredak, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Javor vs Napredak?

Javor vs Napredak (Super Liga) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Kraj Moravice.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.