Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.65 – our chance 64% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultOrdabasy to win ✓68% · @1.40
Double chanceOrdabasy or draw ✓89% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64% · @1.65
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.08
Ordabasy vs Kaspiy: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 30 April the Cup brings Ordabasy against Kaspiy at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.
Current form
Ordabasy, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Akademiya Ontustik, away. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Kaspiy, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FK Tobol Kostanay, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ordabasy, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.7 for Kaspiy.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ordabasy 2.7 xG, Kaspiy 1.0 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ordabasy 68%, draw 21%, Kaspiy 11%.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.65 – the bookmaker implies 61%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ordabasy to win (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ordabasy 2–1 Kaspiy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ordabasy68%fair 1.47 · @1.40
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @4.00
Kaspiy11%fair 9.05 · @6.50
3.71Expected goals
2.69Ordabasy xG
1.02Kaspiy xG
53%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Ordabasy 2.7 – 1.0 Kaspiy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ordabasy to win✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Double chance
Ordabasy or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Ordabasy (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Ordabasy -1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.65 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
First team to score
Ordabasy to score first✓
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Ordabasy ahead at half-time✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ordabasy / FT Ordabasy✓
50%
2.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.08
–
Recent results
Ordabasy – last 3
WWW
8 Apr
@ Akademiya Ontustik
4–2
W
20 Mar
vs Kaisar
2–0
W
16 Mar
@ Zhenys
2–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Kaspiy – last 6
LWLDLL
26 Apr
@ FK Tobol Kostanay
1–2
L
9 Apr
@ Ekibastuz
4–0
W
5 Apr
vs Zhetysu
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Altay
0–0
D
17 Mar
vs Okzhetpes
1–3
L
8 Mar
@ Kyzyl-Zhar
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ordabasy and Kaspiy.
Our pick is Ordabasy to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Ordabasy vs Kaspiy?
On our numbers Ordabasy have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kaspiy 11%.
How many goals will there be in Ordabasy vs Kaspiy?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ordabasy vs Kaspiy?
Our predicted score is Ordabasy 2–1 Kaspiy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Ordabasy vs Kaspiy?
Ordabasy vs Kaspiy (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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