Nigeria vs Zimbabwe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Tuesday 26 May: Nigeria v Zimbabwe in the Friendlies, played at The Valley.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nigeria 1.8 xG, Zimbabwe 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nigeria 63%, draw 23%, Zimbabwe 14%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nigeria 1–0 Zimbabwe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nigeria63%fair 1.59 · @1.53
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.50
Zimbabwe14%fair 7.18 · @6.00
2.60Expected goals
1.85Nigeria xG
0.75Zimbabwe xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Nigeria 1.8 – 0.7 Zimbabwe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nigeria to win✓
63%
1.59
1.53
Double chance
Nigeria or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.95
Draw no bet
Nigeria (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Nigeria -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Nigeria to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Nigeria ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nigeria / FT Nigeria✓
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.49
–
Recent results
Nigeria – last 2
DW
31 Mar
@ Jordan
2–2
D
27 Mar
@ Iran
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Zimbabwe – last 1
W
31 Mar
vs Zambia U23
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nigeria and Zimbabwe.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Nigeria vs Zimbabwe?
On our numbers Nigeria have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Zimbabwe 14%.
How many goals will there be in Nigeria vs Zimbabwe?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nigeria vs Zimbabwe?
Our predicted score is Nigeria 1–0 Zimbabwe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Nigeria vs Zimbabwe?
Nigeria vs Zimbabwe (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 26 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at The Valley.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
