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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

D. La Serena v Union La Calera: numbers & prediction

· · Estadio La Portada
0–2
FT
D. La Serena 34%Draw 28%Union La Calera 38% Expected goals 1.31 – 1.28
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultUnion La Calera to win ✓38% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.39

D. La Serena vs Union La Calera: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 7 June the brings D. La Serena against Union La Calera at Estadio La Portada. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT.

Current form

D. La Serena, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Colo Colo, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Union La Calera, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Universidad de Concepcion, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Union La Calera, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for D. La Serena.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Mar 2026) it ended D. La Serena 3–0 Union La Calera.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give D. La Serena 1.3 xG, Union La Calera 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – D. La Serena 34%, draw 28%, Union La Calera 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: D. La Serena 1–1 Union La Calera. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

D. La Serena34%fair 2.92 · @3.00
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @3.00
Union La Calera38%fair 2.62 · @2.30
2.59Expected goals
1.31D. La Serena xG
1.28Union La Calera xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: D. La Serena 1.3 – 1.3 Union La Calera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

D. La SerenaUnion La Calera
Attack vs average-5%-9%
Goals conceded vs average+14%-22%
Our expected goals here1.321.14

Our own ratings from every result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUnion La Calera to win ✓38%2.622.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.381.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.711.85 ▲
Draw no betUnion La Calera (draw no bet) ✓53%1.90–
Asian handicapUnion La Calera +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.431.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.821.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.321.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreD. La Serena to score first ✗47%2.14–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT D. La Serena / FT D. La Serena ✗22%4.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.39–

Recent results

D. La Serena – last 6

LWLDLD
30 Mayvs Colo Colo2–4L
24 Mayvs Deportes Limache4–1W
16 May@ Palestino1–5L
19 Apr@ Concepción3–3D
26 Mar@ A. Italiano1–3L
20 Mar@ Universidad de Chile2–2D
2.2Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Union La Calera – last 6

DLLWWW
30 May@ Universidad de Concepcion0–0D
24 Mayvs Palestino1–2L
17 May@ Huachipato1–3L
21 Apr@ U. Catolica2–1W
14 Aprvs Concepción1–0W
24 Mar@ Universidad de Chile1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Mar 2026D. La Serena v Union La Calera3–0
D. La Serena vs Union La Calera head-to-head page →

More predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for D. La Serena vs Union La Calera?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win D. La Serena vs Union La Calera?

On our numbers D. La Serena have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Union La Calera 38%.

How many goals will there be in D. La Serena vs Union La Calera?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for D. La Serena vs Union La Calera?

Our predicted score is D. La Serena 1–1 Union La Calera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is D. La Serena vs Union La Calera?

D. La Serena vs Union La Calera () kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Portada.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.